Stock Analysis

Is Nagambie Resources (ASX:NAG) Using Too Much Debt?

ASX:NAG
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Nagambie Resources Limited (ASX:NAG) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Nagambie Resources

What Is Nagambie Resources's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 Nagambie Resources had AU$5.68m of debt, an increase on AU$4.53m, over one year. However, it also had AU$698.6k in cash, and so its net debt is AU$4.99m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:NAG Debt to Equity History May 19th 2022

How Strong Is Nagambie Resources' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nagambie Resources had liabilities of AU$2.02m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$4.20m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had AU$698.6k in cash and AU$46.8k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$5.47m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Nagambie Resources is worth AU$26.5m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Nagambie Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Nagambie Resources finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

While Nagambie Resources's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost AU$1.3m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$3.3m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Nagambie Resources (3 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nagambie Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.