Stock Analysis
- Australia
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- Paper and Forestry Products
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- ASX:MWY
Investors in Midway (ASX:MWY) from five years ago are still down 66%, even after 22% gain this past week
It's nice to see the Midway Limited (ASX:MWY) share price up 22% in a week. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. Indeed, the share price is down 68% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. Of course, this could be the start of a turnaround.
On a more encouraging note the company has added AU$14m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
View our latest analysis for Midway
Midway wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
Over half a decade Midway reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 9.3% for each year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. It seems appropriate, then, that the share price slid about 11% annually during that time. It's fair to say most investors don't like to invest in loss making companies with falling revenue. This looks like a really risky stock to buy, at a glance.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
If you are thinking of buying or selling Midway stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Midway shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 47% over the last year. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 11% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Midway (1 is concerning) that you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:MWY
Midway
Engages in the production, processing, marketing, and export of woodfibre in Australia, China, Japan, and Southeast Asia.