Medallion Metals Limited

ASX:MM8 Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$39.7m

Medallion Metals Valuation

Is MM8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MM8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MM8 (A$0.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$7.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MM8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MM8?

Key metric: As MM8 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MM8. This is calculated by dividing MM8's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MM8's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio23.1x
SalesAU$1.86m
Market CapAU$39.71m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MM8's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MM8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.2x
KAU Kaiser Reef
1.7xn/aAU$41.4m
GWR GWR Group
27.7xn/aAU$26.0m
BCN Beacon Minerals
1.1xn/aAU$93.0m
AXN Alliance Nickel
22.3xn/aAU$28.3m
MM8 Medallion Metals
23.1x72.8%AU$39.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MM8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (23.1x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MM8's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

126 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BHP BHP Group
2.2x-3.1%US$125.64b
FMG Fortescue
1.9x-5.5%US$34.27b
NCM Newcrest Mining
3x5.2%US$13.37b
NST Northern Star Resources
3.6x8.9%US$10.98b
MM8 23.1xIndustry Avg. 54.6xNo. of Companies126PS020406080100+
126 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MM8 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (23.1x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (54.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MM8's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MM8 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio23.1x
Fair PS Ratio65.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MM8 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (23.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (65.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 17:05
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Medallion Metals Limited is covered by 1 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ross BennettMorgans Financial Limited