MLG Oz Limited's (ASX:MLG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 22x and even P/E's above 41x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
There hasn't been much to differentiate MLG Oz's and the market's earnings growth lately. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this modest earnings performance may begin to slide. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for MLG Oz
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as MLG Oz's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.9% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 137% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 25% each year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 17% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's peculiar that MLG Oz's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that MLG Oz currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for MLG Oz with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
You might be able to find a better investment than MLG Oz. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:MLG
MLG Oz
Provides mine site and supply chain solutions in Western Australia and the Northern Territory.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.
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