Stock Analysis

Mount Gibson Iron Limited's (ASX:MGX) Recent Stock Performance Looks Decent- Can Strong Fundamentals Be the Reason?

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ASX:MGX
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Mount Gibson Iron's (ASX:MGX) stock up by 4.5% over the past week. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term financial health, we decided to study the company’s fundamentals to see if they could be influencing the market. In this article, we decided to focus on Mount Gibson Iron's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Mount Gibson Iron

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Mount Gibson Iron is:

21% = AU$133m ÷ AU$631m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2019).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every A$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of A$0.21.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Mount Gibson Iron's Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

At first glance, Mount Gibson Iron seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 12% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Mount Gibson Iron was able to see an impressive net income growth of 74% over the last five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Mount Gibson Iron's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 38% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:MGX Past Earnings Growth July 15th 2020

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Mount Gibson Iron is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Mount Gibson Iron Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Mount Gibson Iron's three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 34%, meaning the company retains 66% of its income. So it seems that Mount Gibson Iron is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Besides, Mount Gibson Iron has been paying dividends over a period of nine years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 36%. Regardless, Mount Gibson Iron's ROE is speculated to decline to 15% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Mount Gibson Iron's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Not to forget, share price outcomes are also dependent on the potential risks a company may face. So it is important for investors to be aware of the risks involved in the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Mount Gibson Iron by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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