If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Magontec (ASX:MGL) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Magontec, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.039 = AU$1.9m ÷ (AU$73m - AU$24m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
So, Magontec has an ROCE of 3.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 9.2%.
Check out our latest analysis for Magontec
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Magontec's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
So How Is Magontec's ROCE Trending?
Over the past five years, Magontec's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Magontec doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time.
On a side note, Magontec has done well to reduce current liabilities to 33% of total assets over the last five years. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.
What We Can Learn From Magontec's ROCE
In summary, Magontec isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Since the stock has declined 31% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Magontec that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:MGL
Magontec
Researches, develops, manufactures, and sells generic and specialist magnesium alloys in Europe, China, North America, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.