Stock Analysis

Is Macmahon Holdings (ASX:MAH) Using Too Much Debt?

ASX:MAH
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Macmahon Holdings Limited (ASX:MAH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Macmahon Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Macmahon Holdings had debt of AU$222.0m, up from AU$174.3m in one year. On the flip side, it has AU$218.2m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$3.86m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:MAH Debt to Equity History November 27th 2023

A Look At Macmahon Holdings' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Macmahon Holdings had liabilities of AU$543.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$312.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$218.2m in cash and AU$333.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$304.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of AU$378.3m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Macmahon Holdings' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. But either way, Macmahon Holdings has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Macmahon Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio is very low, at 0.018, suggesting the debt is only trivial. But EBIT was only 4.9 times the interest expense last year, so the borrowing is clearly weighing on the business somewhat. We note that Macmahon Holdings grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Macmahon Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Macmahon Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 63% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Macmahon Holdings's demonstrated ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Macmahon Holdings can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Macmahon Holdings .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.