Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Macmahon Holdings Limited (ASX:MAH) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Macmahon Holdings
How Much Debt Does Macmahon Holdings Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Macmahon Holdings had AU$174.3m of debt, an increase on AU$97.9m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has AU$198.0m in cash, leading to a AU$23.6m net cash position.
How Healthy Is Macmahon Holdings' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Macmahon Holdings had liabilities of AU$471.5m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$307.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$198.0m in cash and AU$292.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$288.6m.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of AU$304.5m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Macmahon Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
We saw Macmahon Holdings grow its EBIT by 3.0% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Macmahon Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Macmahon Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Macmahon Holdings recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
Although Macmahon Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of AU$23.6m. The cherry on top was that in converted 85% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in AU$65m. So we don't have any problem with Macmahon Holdings's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Macmahon Holdings .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:MAH
Macmahon Holdings
Provides surface mining, underground mining and mining support, and civil infrastructure services to mining companies in Australia and Southeast Asia.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.