IperionX Valuation

Is IPX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IPX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IPX (A$4.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$47.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IPX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IPX?

Key metric: As IPX is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for IPX. This is calculated by dividing IPX's market cap by their current book value.
What is IPX's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio15.7x
BookUS$51.34m
Market CapUS$774.12m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does IPX's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for IPX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
ZIM Zimplats Holdings
0.6xn/aAU$1.6b
NWF Newfield Resources
n/a72.1%AU$83.7m
SPD Southern Palladium
2.5xn/aAU$62.8m
MKR Manuka Resources
1.7xn/aAU$29.6m
IPX IperionX
15.7x67.8%AU$1.2b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: IPX is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (15.7x) compared to the peer average (-0.6x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does IPX's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAS Hastings Technology Metals
0.2x12.6%US$31.24m
JRV Jervois Global
0.1xn/aUS$19.38m
ADN Andromeda Metals
0.2x25.5%US$17.69m
CTO Citigold
0.1xn/aUS$7.80m
IPX 15.7xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies95PB00.81.62.43.24+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: IPX is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (15.7x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (1.2x).


Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IPX's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IPX PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio15.7x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IPX's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IPX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$4.20
AU$5.02
+19.6%
4.3%AU$5.24AU$4.81n/a2
Nov ’25AU$3.40
AU$4.34
+27.8%
7.2%AU$4.66AU$4.03n/a2
Oct ’25AU$3.25
AU$3.71
+14.1%
6.7%AU$3.96AU$3.46n/a2
Sep ’25AU$2.72
AU$3.72
+36.7%
3.2%AU$3.83AU$3.60n/a2
Aug ’25AU$2.36
AU$3.76
+59.3%
2.4%AU$3.85AU$3.67n/a2
Jul ’25AU$2.18
AU$3.73
+71.1%
3.2%AU$3.85AU$3.61n/a2
Jun ’25AU$2.42
AU$3.73
+54.2%
3.2%AU$3.85AU$3.61n/a2
May ’25AU$2.13
AU$3.66
+71.7%
1.2%AU$3.70AU$3.61n/a2
Apr ’25AU$2.25
AU$3.66
+62.5%
1.2%AU$3.70AU$3.61n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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