Stock Analysis

Is Horizon Minerals (ASX:HRZ) Using Too Much Debt?

ASX:HRZ
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Horizon Minerals Limited (ASX:HRZ) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Horizon Minerals

What Is Horizon Minerals's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Horizon Minerals had AU$6.93m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have AU$5.64m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$1.29m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:HRZ Debt to Equity History December 1st 2023

How Healthy Is Horizon Minerals' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Horizon Minerals had liabilities of AU$7.66m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$1.78m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$5.64m and AU$367.4k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total AU$3.44m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Horizon Minerals shares are worth a total of AU$26.6m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Horizon Minerals will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Horizon Minerals finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

While Horizon Minerals's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$9.4m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$13m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 6 warning signs we've spotted with Horizon Minerals (including 3 which shouldn't be ignored) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Horizon Minerals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.