Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Don't Think Gullewa's (ASX:GUL) Statutory Earnings Reflect Its Underlying Earnings Potential

ASX:GUL
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Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. This article will consider whether Gullewa's (ASX:GUL) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that Gullewa made a profit of AU$2.10m on its revenue of AU$2.53m, in the last year. The chart below shows that revenue has improved over the last three years, and, even better, the company has moved from unprofitable to profitable.

View our latest analysis for Gullewa

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:GUL Earnings and Revenue History January 18th 2021

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. This article will discuss how unusual items have impacted Gullewa's most recent profit results. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Gullewa.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Importantly, our data indicates that Gullewa's profit received a boost of AU$440k in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Gullewa doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Gullewa's Profit Performance

We'd posit that Gullewa's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Gullewa's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Gullewa, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Gullewa you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Gullewa's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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