Stock Analysis

Is Genesis Resources (ASX:GES) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

ASX:GES
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Genesis Resources Limited (ASX:GES) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Genesis Resources

What Is Genesis Resources's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2022 Genesis Resources had debt of AU$10.3m, up from AU$9.08m in one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:GES Debt to Equity History March 16th 2023

How Healthy Is Genesis Resources' Balance Sheet?

According to the balance sheet data, Genesis Resources had liabilities of AU$14.1m due within 12 months, but no longer term liabilities. Offsetting this, it had AU$124.4k in cash and AU$12.6k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$13.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the AU$4.70m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Genesis Resources would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Genesis Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Genesis Resources finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Genesis Resources's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$967k. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through AU$1.1m in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Genesis Resources that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.