Fortescue Ltd

ASX:FMG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$63.2b

Fortescue Management

Management criteria checks 4/4

We currently do not have sufficient information about the CEO.

Key information

Dino Otranto

Chief executive officer

US$3.2m

Total compensation

CEO salary percentage39.32%
CEO tenureless than a year
CEO ownershipn/a
Management average tenure2.6yrs
Board average tenure6.1yrs

Recent management updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 04

FMG: Renewable Push And Legal Compensation Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Fortescue from about A$19.56 to around A$18.91, reflecting slightly higher assumed discount rates and modestly softer long term profit margins and P/E expectations in their models. What's in the News Fortescue has started building the 690MW Turner River solar farm in Western Australia's Pilbara region as part of its Pilbara Green Grid renewable energy initiative, source: recent company news.
New Narrative Jun 01

Decarbonization Spend And Global Expansion Will Pressure Margins And Earnings Trajectory

Catalysts About Fortescue Fortescue is a global mining group focused on iron ore, with expanding exposure to copper, critical minerals and green energy technologies. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 23

FMG: Reset Commodity Deck And Steady Shipments Will Support Fair Value

Analysts have reduced their Fortescue price target by A$1.20 to A$17.20, citing updated longer term commodity price forecasts across key metals and mining benchmarks. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts may view the A$17.20 target as still reflecting confidence that Fortescue can execute within the updated commodity price deck, even with more conservative long term assumptions for key metals.
Narrative Update Apr 08

FMG: Reset Commodity Deck And Record Shipments Will Steady Fair Value

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Fortescue has been trimmed by A$1.20 to A$17.20, with analysts pointing to updated long term commodity price assumptions across copper, aluminum, coal and gold as the key driver of the reset. Analyst Commentary Recent research highlights a more cautious stance on Fortescue, with price targets reset and ratings moved lower as analysts refresh longer term commodity assumptions.
Narrative Update Mar 25

FMG: Sector Price Deck Reset Will Shape Fair Value And Payouts

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Fortescue slightly lower, trimming the implied price target by around A$0.12. Updated commodity price forecasts and a more cautious stance on the Australia metals and mining sector have fed into modestly softer revenue growth assumptions and a slightly lower future P/E.
Narrative Update Mar 10

FMG: Sector Commodity Reset Will Shape Fair Value And Dividend Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Fortescue to A$17.20 from A$18.40, reflecting updated commodity price assumptions and a view that softer revenue growth and profit margins, together with a higher future P/E and discount rate, temper the upside case for the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Fortescue point to a more cautious stance, with analysts recalibrating their views after revising long term commodity price assumptions and sector wide expectations for Australian metals and mining names.
Narrative Update Feb 22

FMG: Sector Commodity Reset Will Temper Fair Value And Dividend Support

Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Fortescue slightly lower to A$19.51. The shift aligns with recent Street price target cuts from A$19.25 to A$18.50 and then to A$17.20 as they refresh commodity assumptions and ratings across the Australian metals and mining sector.
Narrative Update Feb 08

FMG: Fair Value Reset Will Test Dividend Resilience As Sector Risks Build

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Fortescue to about A$19.70 from roughly A$19.90, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate, a modestly less negative revenue growth outlook and marginally stronger profit margin assumptions, alongside cautious sector views highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see value support close to the revised A$19.70 target, with the A$18.50 reference point suggesting the stock is not priced for aggressive growth expectations.
Narrative Update Jan 25

FMG: Dividend Policy Will Face Mounting Pressure As Execution Risks Persist

Fortescue's analyst price target has been revised to about A$19.88 from A$19.33. Analysts point to updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E to support the change.
Narrative Update Jan 10

FMG: Dividend Payout Will Continue To Worsen Emerging Earnings Risk Profile

Analysts have nudged their price target for Fortescue slightly higher to A$19.33 from A$19.18, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated slightly from A$19.18 to A$19.33 per share.
Analysis Article Dec 27

There's No Escaping Fortescue Ltd's (ASX:FMG) Muted Earnings

Fortescue Ltd's ( ASX:FMG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.6x might make it look like a buy right now...
Narrative Update Dec 21

FMG: Dividend Payout Will Continue To Worsen Emerging Earnings Risk Profile

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Fortescue, citing slightly improving revenue trends, a small uplift in profit margin expectations, and a marginally higher future P/E outlook, which together support an increase in fair value from approximately $18.55 to $19.18 per share. Valuation Changes Fair Value has risen slightly from approximately A$18.55 to A$19.18 per share, reflecting modestly better fundamentals.
Narrative Update Dec 07

FMG: Dividend Payout Will Continue To Weigh Against Rising Risk Profile

Narrative Update on Fortescue Analysts have reduced their price target on Fortescue by approximately $0.43 per share, citing slightly higher perceived risk and only marginally improved expectations for long term growth and profitability. Valuation Changes Fair Value: reduced slightly from A$18.99 to A$18.55 per share, reflecting a modest downgrade in intrinsic value estimates.
Narrative Update Nov 23

FMG: Dividend Payout Will Weigh Against Sector Risks After Downgrade

Analysts have raised their price target for Fortescue slightly, increasing it to approximately A$18.99 per share from A$18.93. This adjustment follows minor revisions to revenue growth and profit margin forecasts based on their review of recent results.
Narrative Update Nov 07

FMG: Fiscal Outlook Will Balance Dividend Strength Against Key Market Risks

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Fortescue to A$18.93 from A$18.52. This change reflects updated valuation models following the latest fiscal report.
Narrative Update Oct 24

Raising Risks And Downgrade Signals Caution For Margins Ahead

Fortescue's analyst price target has been raised modestly from A$18.14 to A$18.52 as analysts factor in improved profit margins and a slightly lower discount rate following the latest financial updates. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from market observers highlights a mix of optimism and caution regarding Fortescue's outlook.
Narrative Update Oct 10

Rising Extraction Costs And China Risks Will Erode Margins

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Fortescue from A$17.59 to A$18.14. They cite improved profit margins and a slight upward adjustment to financial assumptions, despite ongoing valuation concerns.
Narrative Update Sep 26

Rising Extraction Costs And China Risks Will Erode Margins

Fortescue’s fair value estimate has remained essentially stable amid a slight uptick in forward P/E and a modest decline in net profit margin, resulting in only a marginally higher analyst price target of A$17.59. What's in the News Fortescue announced an ordinary fully franked dividend of AUD 0.60 per share for the twelve months ending June 30, 2025, with the ex-date on September 1, record date on September 2, and payable on September 26, 2025.
Analysis Article Sep 14

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Fortescue (ASX:FMG)

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and...
Narrative Update Sep 11

Rising Extraction Costs And China Risks Will Erode Margins

Fortescue's consensus Analyst Price Target was marginally revised down to A$17.26, as a sharp increase in its future P/E indicates reduced earnings expectations despite revenue growth forecasts remaining flat. What's in the News Fortescue announced an ordinary fully franked dividend of AUD 0.60 per share for the twelve-month period ending June 30, 2025.
Analysis Article Aug 29

Analysts Are Updating Their Fortescue Ltd (ASX:FMG) Estimates After Its Full-Year Results

Last week saw the newest yearly earnings release from Fortescue Ltd ( ASX:FMG ), an important milestone in the...
Narrative Update Aug 27

Iron Bridge And Green Initiatives Will Shape Future Prospects, Yet Falling Hematite Prices And Rising Costs May Challenge Earnings

Despite a notable improvement in consensus revenue growth forecasts and a slight decline in future P/E, Fortescue's analyst price target has edged down modestly from A$17.77 to A$17.46. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Fortescue The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, moving only marginally from A$17.77 to A$17.46.
Analysis Article Jul 23

Fortescue Ltd's (ASX:FMG) Shares Bounce 25% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

Fortescue Ltd ( ASX:FMG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
Analysis Article Jun 25

Is There An Opportunity With Fortescue Ltd's (ASX:FMG) 49% Undervaluation?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Fortescue fair value estimate is AU$29.11 Current share price...
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New Narrative Feb 09

Supply Chain Challenges Could Delay Revenue From Green Iron Plant At Christmas Creek

Aggressive expansion into green energy could strain financial resources and affect future earnings if costs exceed expectations or revenues materialize slowly.

CEO Compensation Analysis

How has Dino Otranto's remuneration changed compared to Fortescue's earnings?
DateTotal CompensationSalaryCompany Earnings
Dec 31 2025n/an/a

US$4b

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

US$4b

Jun 30 2025US$3mUS$1m

US$3b

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

US$4b

Dec 31 2024n/an/a

US$4b

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

US$5b

Jun 30 2024US$3mUS$1m

US$6b

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

US$6b

Dec 31 2023n/an/a

US$6b

Sep 30 2023n/an/a

US$5b

Jun 30 2023US$2mUS$839k

US$5b

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

US$5b

Dec 31 2022n/an/a

US$6b

Sep 30 2022n/an/a

US$6b

Jun 30 2022US$1mUS$579k

US$6b

Compensation vs Market: Dino's total compensation ($USD3.15M) is about average for companies of similar size in the Australian market ($USD4.01M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Dino's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.


CEO

Dino Otranto

less than a year
Tenure
US$3,154,828
Compensation

Mr. Dino Otranto serves as the Chief Executive Officer of Metals and Operations at Fortescue Metals Group Limited since July 2025 and was its Chief Executive Officer since August 2023 until July 2025 and s...


Leadership Team

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
John Andrew Forrest
Founder & Executive Chairman of the Board22.9yrsno datano data
Apple Paget
Group Chief Financial Officer2.8yrsUS$1.28mno data
Dino Otranto
Chief Executive Officer of Metals & Operationsless than a yearUS$3.15mno data
Elizabeth Gaines
Global Ambassador & Executive Director2.9yrsUS$329.08k0.0022%
A$ 1.4m
Andrew Driscoll
Director of Corporate Finance6.3yrsno datano data
Philip McKeiver
Chief General Counselno datano datano data
Ben Kuchel
Director of Marketingno datano datano data
Agustin Pichot
Chief Executive Officer of Growth & Energyless than a yearno datano data
Robert Tichio
CEO & Managing Partner of Fortescue Capital2.6yrsno datano data
Navdeep Gill
Company Secretary1.9yrsno datano data
2.6yrs
Average Tenure
63yo
Average Age

Experienced Management: FMG's management team is considered experienced (2.6 years average tenure).


Board Members

NamePositionTenureCompensationOwnership
John Andrew Forrest
Founder & Executive Chairman of the Board22.9yrsno datano data
Elizabeth Gaines
Global Ambassador & Executive Director13.3yrsUS$329.08k0.0022%
A$ 1.4m
Mark Barnaba
Independent Deputy Chair16.3yrsUS$804.19k0.0015%
A$ 979.6k
Penelope Bingham-Hall
Non-Executive Director9.6yrsUS$243.52k0.0021%
A$ 1.3m
Sebastian Coe
Independent Non Executive Director8.3yrsUS$200.74k0.00039%
A$ 246.5k
Yifei Li
Independent Non Executive Director3.8yrsUS$210.61kno data
Yasmin Broughton
Independent Non-Executive Directorless than a yearno datano data
Larry Marshall
Lead Independent Director2.8yrsUS$275.33k0.00093%
A$ 587.8k
Jean Baderschneider
Independent Non-Executive Director11.4yrsUS$389.30kno data
Noel Quinn
Independent Non-Executive Director1.3yrsUS$67.38kno data
Usha Rao-Monari
Independent Non-Executive Director2.4yrsUS$220.48k0.000030%
A$ 19.0k
Noel Pearson
Independent Non-Executive Director1.8yrsUS$162.93kno data
6.1yrs
Average Tenure
64yo
Average Age

Experienced Board: FMG's board of directors are considered experienced (6.1 years average tenure).


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/05 23:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fortescue Ltd is covered by 33 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ephrem RaviBarclays
Glyn LawcockBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited