Stock Analysis

Is EQ Resources (ASX:EQR) A Risky Investment?

ASX:EQR
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, EQ Resources Limited (ASX:EQR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that EQR is potentially overvalued!

How Much Debt Does EQ Resources Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, EQ Resources had AU$4.53m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$1.72m, its net debt is less, at about AU$2.80m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:EQR Debt to Equity History October 28th 2022

How Healthy Is EQ Resources' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, EQ Resources had liabilities of AU$9.65m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$7.31m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$1.72m as well as receivables valued at AU$2.32m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$12.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given EQ Resources has a market capitalization of AU$65.4m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is EQ Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, EQ Resources made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to AU$4.1m, which is a fall of 10%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did EQ Resources's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$5.0m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$9.6m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for EQ Resources (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EQ Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.