Stock Analysis

Elementos Limited's (ASX:ELT) Profit Outlook

ASX:ELT

Elementos Limited (ASX:ELT) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Elementos Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and Spain. The AU$31m market-cap company’s loss lessened since it announced a AU$2.2m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of AU$2.0m, as it approaches breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Elementos' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

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According to some industry analysts covering Elementos, breakeven is near. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2025, before turning a profit of AU$17m in 2026. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 3 years from today. What rate will the company have to grow year-on-year in order to breakeven on this date? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 39%, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

ASX:ELT Earnings Per Share Growth July 14th 2023

Underlying developments driving Elementos' growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, though, take into account that generally metals and mining companies, depending on the stage of operation and metals mined, have irregular periods of cash flow. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we’d like to point out is that Elementos has no debt on its balance sheet, which is rare for a loss-making metals and mining company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

There are key fundamentals of Elementos which are not covered in this article, but we must stress again that this is merely a basic overview. For a more comprehensive look at Elementos, take a look at Elementos' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of relevant aspects you should further examine:

  1. Historical Track Record: What has Elementos' performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Elementos' board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.