Capral Valuation

Is CAA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CAA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CAA (A$9.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$155.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CAA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAA?

Key metric: As CAA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CAA. This is calculated by dividing CAA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CAA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	5.3x
Earnings	AU$29.92m
Market Cap	AU$159.87m

CAA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4.1x
PEG Ratio	1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CAA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CAA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	13x
X64 Ten Sixty Four	30.6x	n/a	AU$129.9m
BRL Bathurst Resources	4.1x	n/a	AU$143.5m
FEX Fenix Resources	5.6x	12.3%	AU$187.4m
BIS Bisalloy Steel Group	11.6x	n/a	AU$182.5m
CAA Capral	5.3x	3.1%	AU$159.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CAA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (7.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CAA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated	1.8x	-13.3%	US$233.05m
GRR Grange Resources	2.7x	n/a	US$184.45m
RHI Red Hill Minerals	1.8x	n/a	US$182.71m
PTN Patronus Resources	2.3x	n/a	US$66.04m

9 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CAA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (11.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	5.3x
Fair PE Ratio	10.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CAA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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