Here's Why We're Not At All Concerned With Bio-Gene Technology's (ASX:BGT) Cash Burn Situation
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.
So should Bio-Gene Technology (ASX:BGT) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
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How Long Is Bio-Gene Technology's Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. Bio-Gene Technology has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the AU$5.0m in cash it held at December 2020. Importantly, its cash burn was AU$1.3m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of about 3.9 years from December 2020. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Is Bio-Gene Technology's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
In our view, Bio-Gene Technology doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just AU$83k in the last twelve months. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Even though it doesn't get us excited, the 23% reduction in cash burn year on year does suggest the company can continue operating for quite some time. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Easily Can Bio-Gene Technology Raise Cash?
While Bio-Gene Technology is showing a solid reduction in its cash burn, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
Bio-Gene Technology has a market capitalisation of AU$29m and burnt through AU$1.3m last year, which is 4.4% of the company's market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.
Is Bio-Gene Technology's Cash Burn A Worry?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Bio-Gene Technology is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. And even though its cash burn reduction wasn't quite as impressive, it was still a positive. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Bio-Gene Technology you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
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About ASX:BGT
Bio-Gene Technology
An agtech development company, engages in the development and commercialization of naturally derived insecticide products in Australia and internationally.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.