Stock Analysis

Is ActivEX (ASX:AIV) Using Too Much Debt?

ASX:AIV
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that ActivEX Limited (ASX:AIV) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for ActivEX

What Is ActivEX's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 ActivEX had AU$4.35m of debt, an increase on AU$3.45m, over one year. However, it does have AU$2.30m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$2.05m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:AIV Debt to Equity History April 27th 2022

How Strong Is ActivEX's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, ActivEX had liabilities of AU$103.0k due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$4.35m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had AU$2.30m in cash and AU$4.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$2.15m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given ActivEX has a market capitalization of AU$12.3m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is ActivEX's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since ActivEX has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

While ActivEX's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost AU$1.1m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$1.9m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that ActivEX is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those shouldn't be ignored...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.