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Potential Upside For Next Science Limited (ASX:NXS) Not Without Risk
It's not a stretch to say that Next Science Limited's (ASX:NXS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Medical Equipment industry in Australia, where the median P/S ratio is around 4.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Next Science
What Does Next Science's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Next Science has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Next Science.How Is Next Science's Revenue Growth Trending?
Next Science's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 57% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 61% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 15%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Next Science is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What Does Next Science's P/S Mean For Investors?
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Looking at Next Science's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 6 warning signs for Next Science you should be aware of, and 3 of them are a bit concerning.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Next Science might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:NXS
Next Science
Engages in the research, development, and commercialization of technologies that address the issues in human health caused by biofilms, incumbent bacteria, fungus, viruses, and infections in North America, Australia, and New Zealand.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.