David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Monash IVF Group Limited (ASX:MVF) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Monash IVF Group's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2024 Monash IVF Group had AU$79.4m of debt, an increase on AU$42.8m, over one year. On the flip side, it has AU$7.50m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$71.9m.
How Strong Is Monash IVF Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Monash IVF Group had liabilities of AU$91.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$162.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$7.50m in cash and AU$39.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$206.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of AU$290.3m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Monash IVF Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
View our latest analysis for Monash IVF Group
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With net debt sitting at just 1.3 times EBITDA, Monash IVF Group is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 7.9 times, which is more than adequate. Also positive, Monash IVF Group grew its EBIT by 23% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Monash IVF Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Monash IVF Group recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Monash IVF Group was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Monash IVF Group commonly do use debt without problems. Considering this range of data points, we think Monash IVF Group is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Monash IVF Group you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:MVF
Monash IVF Group
Provides assisted reproductive and specialist women imaging services in Australia and Malaysia.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.
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