Stock Analysis

CardieX (ASX:CDX) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

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ASX:CDX

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that CardieX Limited (ASX:CDX) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for CardieX

How Much Debt Does CardieX Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CardieX had AU$3.23m of debt in June 2024, down from AU$3.64m, one year before. However, it also had AU$481.4k in cash, and so its net debt is AU$2.75m.

ASX:CDX Debt to Equity History September 10th 2024

How Healthy Is CardieX's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CardieX had liabilities of AU$7.83m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$485.2k due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$481.4k as well as receivables valued at AU$4.82m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$3.01m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given CardieX has a market capitalization of AU$15.9m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CardieX can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year CardieX wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 118%, to AU$12m. So there's no doubt that shareholders are cheering for growth

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate CardieX's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$4.8m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$7.8m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that CardieX is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are significant...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.