LARK Distilling Co. Ltd.

CHIA:LRK Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$121.1m

LARK Distilling Valuation

Is LRK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LRK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LRK's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LRK's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LRK?

Key metric: As LRK is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LRK. This is calculated by dividing LRK's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LRK's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.2x
SalesAU$16.73m
Market CapAU$121.11m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LRK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LRK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.5x
AVG Australian Vintage
0.2x2.0%AU$46.1m
TSI Top Shelf International Holdings
0.7xn/aAU$13.0m
TWE Treasury Wine Estates
3.3x7.0%AU$9.2b
MCA Murray Cod Australia
14xn/aAU$148.0m
LRK LARK Distilling
7.2x22.7%AU$121.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LRK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (4.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LRK's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Beverage Industry?

42 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LRK 7.2xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies47PS01.63.24.86.48+
42 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LRK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LRK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LRK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.2x
Fair PS Ratio2.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LRK is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LRK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$1.14
AU$1.92
+68.1%
40.3%AU$3.00AU$1.25n/a3
Nov ’25AU$1.17
AU$1.92
+64.5%
40.3%AU$3.00AU$1.25n/a3
Oct ’25AU$1.00
AU$1.73
+73.3%
51.9%AU$3.00AU$1.00n/a3
Sep ’25AU$0.95
AU$1.73
+82.5%
51.9%AU$3.00AU$1.00n/a3
Aug ’25AU$0.96
AU$1.10
+14.0%
9.1%AU$1.20AU$1.00n/a2
Jul ’25AU$0.82
AU$2.01
+144.7%
50.5%AU$3.40AU$1.02n/a3
Jun ’25AU$0.92
AU$2.06
+123.6%
47.0%AU$3.40AU$1.17n/a3
May ’25AU$1.05
AU$2.06
+96.8%
47.0%AU$3.40AU$1.17n/a3
Apr ’25AU$1.20
AU$2.41
+101.7%
41.1%AU$3.40AU$1.42n/a2
Mar ’25AU$1.20
AU$2.41
+100.8%
41.1%AU$3.40AU$1.42n/a2
Feb ’25AU$1.27
AU$2.41
+90.5%
41.1%AU$3.40AU$1.42n/a2
Jan ’25AU$1.28
AU$2.55
+99.6%
33.6%AU$3.40AU$1.69n/a2
Dec ’24AU$1.27
AU$2.55
+101.2%
33.6%AU$3.40AU$1.69AU$1.142
Nov ’24AU$1.43
AU$2.55
+78.0%
33.6%AU$3.40AU$1.69AU$1.172
Oct ’24AU$1.47
AU$2.60
+76.9%
34.6%AU$3.50AU$1.70AU$1.002
Sep ’24AU$1.55
AU$2.60
+68.3%
34.6%AU$3.50AU$1.70AU$0.952
Aug ’24AU$1.46
AU$2.58
+77.3%
35.7%AU$3.50AU$1.66AU$0.962
Jul ’24AU$1.34
AU$2.77
+106.3%
33.8%AU$3.70AU$1.83AU$0.822
Jun ’24AU$1.73
AU$2.77
+59.8%
33.8%AU$3.70AU$1.83AU$0.922
May ’24AU$1.77
AU$3.07
+73.2%
40.3%AU$4.30AU$1.83AU$1.052
Apr ’24AU$1.61
AU$2.83
+75.6%
36.9%AU$4.30AU$2.09AU$1.203
Mar ’24AU$1.85
AU$2.83
+52.8%
36.9%AU$4.30AU$2.09AU$1.203
Feb ’24AU$2.08
AU$2.82
+35.6%
29.9%AU$4.00AU$2.09AU$1.273
Jan ’24AU$2.41
AU$3.70
+53.4%
57.5%AU$6.70AU$2.09AU$1.283
Dec ’23AU$2.52
AU$3.70
+46.7%
57.5%AU$6.70AU$2.09AU$1.273

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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