Stock Analysis

Bubs Australia Limited (ASX:BUB) Is Expected To Breakeven In The Near Future

With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Bubs Australia Limited's (ASX:BUB) future prospects. Bubs Australia Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of various infant nutrition and wellbeing products in Australia, China, the United States, and internationally. The AU$138m market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of AU$21m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of AU$9.8m shrinking the gap between loss and breakeven. Many investors are wondering about the rate at which Bubs Australia will turn a profit, with the big question being “when will the company breakeven?” Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.

Bubs Australia is bordering on breakeven, according to the 3 Australian Food analysts. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2025, before generating positive profits of AU$4.8m in 2026. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven just over a year from now. What rate will the company have to grow year-on-year in order to breakeven on this date? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 77%, which is extremely buoyant. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:BUB Earnings Per Share Growth July 31st 2025

Underlying developments driving Bubs Australia's growth isn’t the focus of this broad overview, though, keep in mind that by and large a high forecast growth rate is not unusual for a company that is currently undergoing an investment period.

Check out our latest analysis for Bubs Australia

One thing we’d like to point out is that The company has managed its capital prudently, with debt making up 13% of equity. This means that it has predominantly funded its operations from equity capital, and its low debt obligation reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

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Next Steps:

There are too many aspects of Bubs Australia to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – Bubs Australia's company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of essential factors you should further research:

  1. Valuation: What is Bubs Australia worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Bubs Australia is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Bubs Australia’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bubs Australia might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:BUB

Bubs Australia

Manufactures and sell infant and adult chilled and powdered goat dairy products in Australia, China, the United States, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.

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