Stock Analysis

New Hope (ASX:NHC) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At A$0.56

ASX:NHC
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The board of New Hope Corporation Limited (ASX:NHC) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of A$0.56 on the 8th of November, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 9.9%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that New Hope's stock price has increased by 88% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

View our latest analysis for New Hope

New Hope's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Prior to this announcement, New Hope's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

EPS is set to fall by 2.8% over the next 12 months. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 93% in the next 12 months, which is on the higher end of the range we would say is sustainable.

historic-dividend
ASX:NHC Historic Dividend September 29th 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of A$0.26 in 2012 to the most recent total annual payment of A$0.62. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.1% over that duration. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. We are encouraged to see that New Hope has grown earnings per share at 47% per year over the past five years. The company doesn't have any problems growing, despite returning a lot of capital to shareholders, which is a very nice combination for a dividend stock to have.

New Hope Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. The distributions are easily covered by earnings, and there is plenty of cash being generated as well. We should point out that the earnings are expected to fall over the next 12 months, which won't be a problem if this doesn't become a trend, but could cause some turbulence in the next year. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for New Hope (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about. Is New Hope not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:NHC

New Hope

Explores for, develops, produces, and processes coal, and oil and gas properties.

Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.

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