Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies MC Mining Limited (ASX:MCM) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for MC Mining
What Is MC Mining's Debt?
As you can see below, MC Mining had US$17.5m of debt at December 2022, down from US$20.1m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has US$20.1m in cash, leading to a US$2.56m net cash position.
How Strong Is MC Mining's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, MC Mining had liabilities of US$29.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$14.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$20.1m in cash and US$1.44m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$21.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
MC Mining has a market capitalization of US$42.9m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, MC Mining also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since MC Mining will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year MC Mining's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
So How Risky Is MC Mining?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months MC Mining lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$7.5m of cash and made a loss of US$21m. With only US$2.56m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for MC Mining (2 are potentially serious) you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:MCM
MC Mining
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of coking and thermal coal projects in South Africa.
Slight and slightly overvalued.