Hydrocarbon Dynamics Valuation

Is HCD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HCD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate HCD's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate HCD's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HCD?

Key metric: As HCD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for HCD. This is calculated by dividing HCD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is HCD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	5.2x
Sales	AU$539.89k
Market Cap	AU$2.78m

HCD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-1.5x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HCD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HCD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.8x
AOK Australian Oil	0.3x	n/a	AU$2.8m
XST Xstate Resources	0.7x	n/a	AU$2.9m
SAN Sagalio Energy	1.4x	n/a	AU$1.0m
WEL Winchester Energy	0.8x	n/a	AU$2.7m
HCD Hydrocarbon Dynamics	5.2x	n/a	AU$2.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HCD is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does HCD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

36 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
WDS Woodside Energy Group	2.5x	1.5%	US$30.93b
STO Santos	2.6x	8.2%	US$14.58b
YAL Yancoal Australia	1.3x	0.4%	US$5.70b
ALD Ampol	0.2x	-1.6%	US$4.50b

36 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HCD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (5.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HCD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HCD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	5.2x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HCD's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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