Netwealth Group Valuation

Is NWL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NWL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NWL (A$19.29) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$10.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NWL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NWL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NWL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue19.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA39.9x
PEG Ratio3.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NWL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NWL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.8x
ARG Argo Investments
25.3xn/aAU$6.5b
GQG GQG Partners
16.3x9.9%AU$6.8b
AFI Australian Foundation Investment
30.2xn/aAU$8.9b
PPT Perpetual
39.2x29.3%AU$2.6b
NWL Netwealth Group
63.3x17.0%AU$4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.3x) compared to the peer average (27.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NWL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.3x) compared to the Australian Capital Markets industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NWL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NWL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio63.3x
Fair PE Ratio21.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NWL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (63.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NWL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$19.29
AU$18.41
-4.5%
19.1%AU$23.13AU$10.80n/a15
Apr ’25AU$21.07
AU$17.47
-17.1%
19.6%AU$23.13AU$10.60n/a15
Mar ’25AU$19.39
AU$17.54
-9.5%
19.7%AU$23.13AU$10.60n/a15
Feb ’25AU$16.61
AU$15.86
-4.5%
18.4%AU$23.03AU$10.10n/a15
Jan ’25AU$15.47
AU$13.86
-10.4%
12.1%AU$16.20AU$10.10n/a13
Dec ’24AU$14.72
AU$13.59
-7.7%
13.9%AU$16.20AU$10.10n/a14
Nov ’24AU$12.95
AU$13.56
+4.7%
13.7%AU$16.20AU$10.10n/a14
Oct ’24AU$15.14
AU$13.95
-7.9%
14.5%AU$16.40AU$10.10n/a14
Sep ’24AU$15.13
AU$13.95
-7.8%
14.0%AU$16.40AU$10.10n/a15
Aug ’24AU$14.90
AU$13.38
-10.2%
16.2%AU$16.50AU$9.60n/a15
Jul ’24AU$13.86
AU$13.21
-4.7%
13.5%AU$16.50AU$9.60n/a14
Jun ’24AU$12.78
AU$13.21
+3.4%
13.5%AU$16.50AU$9.60n/a14
May ’24AU$13.61
AU$13.45
-1.2%
12.0%AU$16.50AU$9.60AU$19.2913
Apr ’24AU$13.54
AU$14.05
+3.7%
13.7%AU$17.00AU$9.60AU$21.0713
Mar ’24AU$13.25
AU$14.02
+5.8%
13.5%AU$17.00AU$9.60AU$19.3913
Feb ’24AU$13.53
AU$13.75
+1.7%
14.9%AU$17.00AU$9.00AU$16.6113
Jan ’24AU$12.10
AU$13.92
+15.0%
15.0%AU$17.00AU$9.00AU$15.4712
Dec ’23AU$14.04
AU$13.92
-0.9%
15.0%AU$17.00AU$9.00AU$14.7212
Nov ’23AU$12.33
AU$13.64
+10.6%
14.3%AU$16.70AU$9.00AU$12.9511
Oct ’23AU$12.11
AU$13.93
+15.0%
17.5%AU$16.70AU$7.30AU$15.1411
Sep ’23AU$12.72
AU$13.93
+9.5%
17.5%AU$16.70AU$7.30AU$15.1311
Aug ’23AU$13.13
AU$13.59
+3.5%
18.5%AU$16.50AU$6.80AU$14.9011
Jul ’23AU$12.72
AU$14.32
+12.6%
20.9%AU$19.50AU$6.80AU$13.8611
Jun ’23AU$13.02
AU$14.56
+11.8%
21.4%AU$19.50AU$6.80AU$12.7811
May ’23AU$13.04
AU$14.57
+11.8%
21.2%AU$19.50AU$6.80AU$13.6111

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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