Navigator Global Investments Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Navigator Global Investments is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.7% and 13.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 4.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.2% in 3 years.

Key information

5.7%

Earnings growth rate

-4.4%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth	12.2%
Revenue growth rate	13.8%
Future return on equity	9.2%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	26 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:NGI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	175	71	56	78	2
6/30/2026	171	66	58	78	2
6/30/2025	162	67	65	80	2
6/30/2024	96	66	51	58	N/A
3/31/2024	92	38	52	59	N/A
12/30/2023	89	10	52	60	N/A
9/30/2023	86	23	41	49	N/A
6/30/2023	84	36	30	38	N/A
3/31/2023	82	40	38	45	N/A
12/31/2022	81	45	47	52	N/A
9/30/2022	83	42	67	71	N/A
6/30/2022	84	39	87	90	N/A
3/31/2022	86	33	63	65	N/A
12/31/2021	88	26	39	41	N/A
9/30/2021	88	27	37	38	N/A
6/30/2021	89	27	34	36	N/A
3/31/2021	90	20	30	32	N/A
12/31/2020	90	13	26	29	N/A
9/30/2020	92	16	28	32	N/A
6/30/2020	93	18	30	34	N/A
3/31/2020	97	22	33	36	N/A
12/31/2019	102	26	35	38	N/A
9/30/2019	104	26	28	31	N/A
6/30/2019	107	27	20	23	N/A
3/31/2019	102	28	23	26	N/A
12/31/2018	98	28	27	29	N/A
9/30/2018	91	8	29	31	N/A
6/30/2018	83	-13	31	33	N/A
3/31/2018	80	-15	N/A	32	N/A
12/31/2017	77	-18	N/A	30	N/A
9/30/2017	75	0	N/A	30	N/A
6/30/2017	73	18	N/A	30	N/A
12/31/2016	71	18	N/A	33	N/A
9/30/2016	71	16	N/A	31	N/A
6/30/2016	71	15	N/A	30	N/A
12/31/2015	70	14	N/A	26	N/A
9/30/2015	70	75	N/A	27	N/A
6/30/2015	70	135	N/A	28	N/A
12/31/2014	64	135	N/A	34	N/A
9/30/2014	64	76	N/A	31	N/A
6/30/2014	65	17	N/A	28	N/A
3/31/2014	69	14	N/A	23	N/A
12/31/2013	68	12	N/A	18	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NGI's forecast earnings growth (5.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: NGI's earnings (5.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NGI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NGI's revenue (13.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NGI's revenue (13.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NGI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 14:48
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Navigator Global Investments Limited is covered by 7 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Nicholas McGarrigle	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
April Lowis	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Mathan Somasundaram	EL&C Baillieu

Navigator Global Investments Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Navigator Global Investments Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 31, 2024

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.17 (vs US$0.15 in FY 2023)

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Navigator Global Investments Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 27, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Now 26% overvalued after recent price rise

CEO & Executive Director recently bought AU$73k worth of stock

First half 2024 earnings released: US$0.045 loss per share (vs US$0.063 profit in 1H 2023)

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

New major risk - Shareholder dilution

Navigator Global Investments Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 96.359039 million.

Navigator Global Investments Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 96.359039 million.

Navigator Global Investments Limited Announces the Appointment of Stephen Jon Darke as an Executive Director

Navigator Global Investments Limited Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

Upcoming dividend of US$0.03 per share at 3.5% yield

Navigator Global Investments Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 27, 2023

Navigator Global Investments Limited Announced Dividend for A Period of Twelve Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payment Date Is October 6, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.15 (vs US$0.21 in FY 2022)

Navigator Global Investments Limited Announces Resignation of Cathy Hales, Independent Non-Executive Director

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.063 (vs US$0.041 in 1H 2022)

Navigator Global Investments Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 17, 2022

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$65k worth of stock

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.21 (vs US$0.15 in FY 2021)

Navigator Global Investments Limited Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on September 16, 2022

Navigator Global Investments Limited Announces Dividend Policy

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$240k worth of stock

Navigator Global Investments Limited announced a financing transaction

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

First half 2022 earnings: EPS in line with analyst expectations despite revenue beat

Navigator Global Investments Limited Determines an Unfranked Dividend for the Six Months Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 11 March 2022

Navigator Global Investments Limited (ASX : NGI) signed an agreement to acquire a 32% stake in Longreach Alternatives Ltd.

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.15 (vs US$0.11 in FY 2020)

Independent Non-Executive Director has left the company

New 90-day low: AU$1.66

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.054 (vs US$0.083 in 1H 2020)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

New 90-day high: AU$1.93

Navigator Global Investments Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 18, 2021

New 90-day high: AU$1.83

Navigator Global Investments Limited Announces the Appointment of Nicola Meaden Grenham as an Independent Non-Executive Director