Solvar (ASX:SVR) shareholders YoY returns are lagging the company's 90% one-year earnings growth
The Solvar Limited (ASX:SVR) share price has had a bad week, falling 12%. But looking back over the last year, the returns have actually been rather pleasing! To wit, it had solidly beat the market, up 30%.
While the stock has fallen 12% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the last year Solvar grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 90%. It's fair to say that the share price gain of 30% did not keep pace with the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market isn't as excited about Solvar as it was before. This could be an opportunity. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 9.60.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We know that Solvar has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Solvar will grow revenue in the future.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Solvar the TSR over the last 1 year was 42%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Solvar shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 42% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 2%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Solvar (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
But note: Solvar may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.