Stock Analysis

Even With A 25% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Solvar Limited's (ASX:SVR) Performance Completely

Despite an already strong run, Solvar Limited (ASX:SVR) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 40% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Solvar's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Australia, where the median P/E ratio is around 20x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Solvar's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Solvar

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:SVR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 9th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Solvar's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Solvar's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 64%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 58% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 30% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Solvar is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Solvar's P/E?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Solvar's P/E is also back up to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Solvar currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Solvar (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:SVR

Solvar

Provides automotive finance in Australia and New Zealand.

Proven track record average dividend payer.

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