Humm Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Humm Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.1% and 15% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11% in 3 years.

Key information

26.1%

Earnings growth rate

26.6%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Finance earnings growth	44.0%
Revenue growth rate	15.0%
Future return on equity	11.0%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	05 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Humm Group (ASX:HUM) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

Feb 22

What Kind Of Shareholders Hold The Majority In Humm Group Limited's (ASX:HUM) Shares?

Mar 02

Would Shareholders Who Purchased Humm Group's (ASX:HUM) Stock Five Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

Jan 23

What Kind Of Investors Own Most Of Humm Group Limited (ASX:HUM)?

Dec 01

Andrew Abercrombie Is The Chairman of FlexiGroup Limited (ASX:FXL) And They Just Picked Up 7.2% More Shares

Sep 04

Here's What FlexiGroup Limited's (ASX:FXL) Shareholder Ownership Structure Looks Like

Sep 02

Three Things You Should Check Before Buying FlexiGroup Limited (ASX:FXL) For Its Dividend

Aug 06

FlexiGroup's (ASX:FXL) Stock Price Has Reduced58% In The Past Five Years

Jul 16

FlexiGroup Limited's (ASX:FXL) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Jun 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:HUM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	752	57	N/A	-122	2
6/30/2026	709	47	N/A	-131	2
6/30/2025	672	40	N/A	-106	2
6/30/2024	244	2	-697	-682	N/A
3/31/2024	240	-7	-759	-743	N/A
12/31/2023	236	-15	-820	-803	N/A
9/30/2023	242	-8	-860	-843	N/A
6/30/2023	248	-2	-901	-883	N/A
3/31/2023	256	0	-854	-834	N/A
12/31/2022	264	2	-808	-786	N/A
9/30/2022	278	-86	-676	-653	N/A
6/30/2022	293	-174	-544	-521	N/A
3/31/2022	301	-162	-476	-453	N/A
12/31/2021	309	-151	-408	-386	N/A
9/30/2021	310	-47	-274	-248	N/A
6/30/2021	311	57	-140	-111	N/A
3/31/2021	281	42	-26	8	N/A
12/31/2020	250	27	88	126	N/A
9/30/2020	247	24	98	132	N/A
6/30/2020	244	21	107	139	N/A
3/31/2020	275	42	122	151	N/A
12/31/2019	306	62	137	164	N/A
9/30/2019	294	61	138	164	N/A
6/30/2019	282	60	139	165	N/A
3/31/2019	281	66	149	176	N/A
12/31/2018	280	71	160	186	N/A
9/30/2018	289	31	160	187	N/A
6/30/2018	297	-9	160	189	N/A
3/31/2018	296	-9	N/A	172	N/A
12/31/2017	295	-9	N/A	155	N/A
9/30/2017	297	39	N/A	158	N/A
6/30/2017	298	87	N/A	161	N/A
3/31/2017	286	72	N/A	160	N/A
12/31/2016	273	57	N/A	159	N/A
9/30/2016	256	53	N/A	153	N/A
6/30/2016	239	50	N/A	147	N/A
3/31/2016	237	68	N/A	138	N/A
12/31/2015	236	86	N/A	128	N/A
9/30/2015	232	84	N/A	124	N/A
6/30/2015	229	83	N/A	121	N/A
3/31/2015	228	72	N/A	125	N/A
12/31/2014	226	62	N/A	128	N/A
9/30/2014	221	60	N/A	126	N/A
6/30/2014	217	58	N/A	124	N/A
3/31/2014	209	64	N/A	120	N/A
12/31/2013	201	70	N/A	116	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HUM's forecast earnings growth (26.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: HUM's earnings (26.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HUM's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HUM's revenue (15% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HUM's revenue (15% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HUM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/21 05:40
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Humm Group Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Swapan Pandya	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
John Marrin	CLSA
Paul Buys	Credit Suisse

Humm Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Price target decreased by 25% to AU$0.54

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target decreased to AU$1.05

Price target increased to AU$1.43

Consensus EPS estimates fall to AU$0.096

Recent updates

Humm Group Limited Announces Resignation of Christina Seppelt as Company Secretary, Effective 31 December 2024

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$50k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Humm Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 28, 2024

Hummgroup Announces Board Changes

Humm Group Limited Announces Ordinary Fully Franked Final Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payable on October 3, 2024

Final dividend of AU$0.013 announced

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations

Humm Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 21, 2024

Humm Group (ASX:HUM) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

First half dividend reduced to AU$0.0075

First half 2024 earnings released: AU$0.017 loss per share (vs AU$0.011 profit in 1H 2023)

Humm Group Limited Announces Interim Ordinary Fully Franked Dividend for the Half-Year Ended 31 December 2023, Payable on 3 April 2024

Humm Group Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 20, 2024

Humm Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 16, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released

Humm Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 24, 2023

Key Executive recently bought AU$88k worth of stock

Key Executive recently bought AU$200k worth of stock

Key Executive recently bought AU$263k worth of stock

Key Executive recently bought AU$91k worth of stock

Humm Group Limited Announces CEO Changes

Key Executive recently bought AU$128k worth of stock

Key Executive recently bought AU$137k worth of stock

Price target decreased by 25% to AU$0.54

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.011 (vs AU$0.34 loss in 1H 2022)

Humm Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 23, 2023

Key Executive recently bought AU$55k worth of stock

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$60k worth of stock

High number of new and inexperienced directors

High number of new and inexperienced directors

humm group limited Appoints Non-Executive Directors and Company Secretary

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Humm Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 17, 2022

Humm Group Limited Announces Change of Company Secretary

Humm Group Limited to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Aug 25, 2022

High number of new and inexperienced directors

Humm Group Limited Announces Board Changes

Humm Group Limited Announces Board Changes

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target decreased to AU$1.05

Key Executive recently bought AU$2.1m worth of stock

Humm Group Limited Announces Change of Company Secretary

Price target increased to AU$1.43

First half 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Humm Group Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on April 6, 2022

Suitors Reportedly Circle Humm's Commercial Leasing Arm

Humm Group Limited to Report Q2, 2022 Results on Feb 22, 2022

Latitude Group Holdings Limited (ASX:LFS) signed non binding heads of agreement to acquire Consumer Business from Humm Group Limited (ASX:HUM) for approximately AUD 330 million.

Non-Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$459k worth of stock

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.12 (vs AU$0.053 in FY 2020)

Consensus EPS estimates fall to AU$0.096

humm group limited Launches Humm TAPP

Independent Non-Executive Chairman recently bought AU$921k worth of stock

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$485k worth of stock

What Kind Of Shareholders Hold The Majority In Humm Group Limited's (ASX:HUM) Shares?

New 90-day low: AU$1.08

Analysts update estimates

New 90-day high: AU$1.29

Humm Group Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 24, 2021

Would Shareholders Who Purchased Humm Group's (ASX:HUM) Stock Five Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

What Kind Of Investors Own Most Of Humm Group Limited (ASX:HUM)?

Humm Group Limited Enters into a Non-Binding Memorandum of Understanding with Neobank Douugh

New 90-day high: AU$1.28

Analysts update estimates

Market bids up stock over the past week

Flexigroup Announces Strategic Partnership with Masterca

New 90-day low: AU$0.94