Restaurant Brands New Zealand Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Restaurant Brands New Zealand is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 17.4% and 2.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.6% in 3 years.

Key information

17.4%

Earnings growth rate

17.4%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	15.4%
Revenue growth rate	2.3%
Future return on equity	12.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	11 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:RBD - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	1,560	40	70	152	2
12/31/2025	1,505	33	57	140	2
12/31/2024	1,451	26	52	135	2
6/30/2024	1,447	27	60	139	N/A
3/31/2024	1,421	21	54	133	N/A
12/31/2023	1,395	16	47	128	N/A
9/30/2023	1,377	18	42	125	N/A
6/30/2023	1,359	19	37	123	N/A
3/31/2023	1,329	26	37	122	N/A
12/31/2022	1,298	32	37	122	N/A
9/30/2022	1,230	32	30	117	N/A
6/30/2022	1,163	33	24	112	N/A
3/31/2022	1,139	42	33	119	N/A
12/31/2021	1,114	52	41	126	N/A
9/30/2021	1,104	53	55	131	N/A
6/30/2021	1,093	54	70	136	N/A
3/31/2021	1,009	42	60	123	N/A
12/31/2020	925	31	51	111	N/A
12/31/2019	880	36	34	105	N/A
9/9/2019	839	35	41	88	N/A
6/9/2019	833	36	38	79	N/A
2/25/2019	826	36	34	71	N/A
11/25/2018	819	36	36	74	N/A
9/10/2018	812	37	38	77	N/A
6/10/2018	789	36	N/A	73	N/A
2/26/2018	766	35	N/A	68	N/A
11/26/2017	708	34	N/A	61	N/A
9/11/2017	651	32	N/A	55	N/A
6/11/2017	584	29	N/A	51	N/A
2/27/2017	518	26	N/A	48	N/A
11/27/2016	485	25	N/A	46	N/A
9/12/2016	453	24	N/A	45	N/A
6/12/2016	428	24	N/A	44	N/A
2/29/2016	404	24	N/A	44	N/A
11/30/2015	402	25	N/A	44	N/A
9/14/2015	399	26	N/A	43	N/A
6/14/2015	386	25	N/A	40	N/A
3/2/2015	373	24	N/A	36	N/A
12/2/2014	360	23	N/A	38	N/A
9/8/2014	346	22	N/A	39	N/A
6/8/2014	338	21	N/A	36	N/A
2/24/2014	330	20	N/A	32	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RBD's forecast earnings growth (17.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: RBD's earnings (17.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RBD's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: RBD's revenue (2.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RBD's revenue (2.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RBD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/25 08:27
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/13 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited is covered by 5 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Mohandeep Singh	Deutsche Bank
Adrian Allbon	Jarden Limited
Guy Edward Hooper	Jarden Limited

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended December 31, 2023

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

Recent updates

Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 24, 2024