Viva Leisure Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Viva Leisure is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 31% and 8.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18% in 3 years.
Key information
31.0%
Earnings growth rate
31.22%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 12.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.4% |
| Future return on equity | 18.01% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 10 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 24
VVA: Higher Margins And Steady Modelling Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Viva Leisure to A$2.00. This reflects slightly updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples while keeping the discount rate unchanged at 12.08%.Analysis Article • Jun 11
Here's Why Viva Leisure (ASX:VVA) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Narrative Update • Jun 09
VVA: Higher Margins And Steady Modelling Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have kept their A$2.00 price target for Viva Leisure unchanged. This reflects updated modelling that now applies slightly higher revenue growth, a marginally stronger profit margin and a modestly lower future P/E assumption.Narrative Update • May 26
VVA: Higher Margins And Share Buyback Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Viva Leisure to A$2.00, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher projected revenue growth, profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and a small change in the assumed future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$2.00 per share is unchanged compared with the previous estimate.Narrative Update • Apr 28
VVA: Share Buyback And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have increased their Viva Leisure price target from A$2.00 to A$2.20, citing slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a marginally lower future P/E multiple to support the change. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan on February 17, 2026, signaling approval for returning capital to shareholders through repurchases (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Apr 09
VVA: Share Buyback Program Will Support Future Earnings Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their outlook on Viva Leisure, with the A$ price target kept steady. Slightly higher revenue growth and profit margin assumptions are balanced by a marginally lower future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Mar 26
VVA: Share Buyback Will Support Future Upside Through Higher Margins
Analysts have modestly lifted their Viva Leisure price target to A$2.00, citing slightly higher assumed revenue growth of 9.44% and a profit margin of 8.87%, along with a minor adjustment to the future P/E assumption at 10.33x. What's in the News Viva Leisure announced a share repurchase program covering up to 9,854,636 ordinary shares, equal to 8.91% of issued share capital.Narrative Update • Mar 12
VVA: Share Buyback And Firmer Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their Viva Leisure price target from A$3.40 to A$3.60. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin and a marginally higher future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Feb 25
VVA: Share Buyback And Stronger Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their Viva Leisure price target from A$1.75 to A$2.00. This reflects updated assumptions around a higher discount rate, slightly lower revenue growth, a modestly stronger profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple.Analysis Article • Feb 19
Statutory Profit Doesn't Reflect How Good Viva Leisure's (ASX:VVA) Earnings Are
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Viva Leisure Limited's ( ASX:VVA...Narrative Update • Feb 11
VVA: Steady Fair Value And Firmer Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have reiterated their Viva Leisure price target at A$3.40, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin, while keeping the headline fair value unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$3.40 remains unchanged, with no adjustment to the headline valuation.Analysis Article • Jan 30
Viva Leisure Limited's (ASX:VVA) Price In Tune With Earnings
Viva Leisure Limited's ( ASX:VVA ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.9x might make it look like a sell right now...Narrative Update • Jan 27
VVA: Steady Fair Value And Refining Margins Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update: Viva Leisure Analysts have held their price target for Viva Leisure steady at A$3.40, reflecting only small adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that they view as broadly offsetting each other. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Held steady at A$3.40, with no change from the previous estimate.Narrative Update • Jan 10
VVA: Steady Fair Value And Rising Margins Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have kept their price target for Viva Leisure broadly steady around A$3.40, reflecting only minor tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Modelled fair value is unchanged at A$3.40 per share.Narrative Update • Dec 26
VVA: Rising Margins Will Support Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target for Viva Leisure to AUD 3.40 from AUD 3.40, reflecting slightly stronger expectations for revenue growth and profit margins despite only modest changes to long term valuation multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at A$3.40 per share, indicating no revision to the core valuation estimate.Narrative Update • Dec 12
VVA: Index Inclusion And Margin Outlook Will Support Stronger Future Returns
Analysts have increased their price target on Viva Leisure from A$3.40 to A$3.80, citing expectations of slightly faster revenue growth, improving profit margins and a modestly lower future P E multiple despite a higher discount rate. What's in the News Viva Leisure Limited (ASX:VVA) added to the S and P ASX Emerging Companies Index, signaling increased visibility among institutional investors (Index Constituent Adds) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at A$3.40 per share.Analysis Article • Sep 05
Viva Leisure Limited's (ASX:VVA) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 29% Share Price Bounce
The Viva Leisure Limited ( ASX:VVA ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of...Analysis Article • Sep 05
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Viva Leisure Limited's (ASX:VVA) 29% Share Price Surge
The Viva Leisure Limited ( ASX:VVA ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of...
Narrative Update • Aug 16
Franchise Expansion And Tech Integration Will Optimize Future Cash Flows
Despite a notable slowdown in consensus revenue growth forecasts, a significant improvement in Viva Leisure’s net profit margin has driven an increased fair value estimate, with the consensus analyst price target rising from A$2.38 to A$2.58. What's in the News Viva Leisure has rebranded and released The Viva Story, detailing its strategic evolution from a single club to nearly 500 locations across Australia, New Zealand, India, and recent expansions into SE Asia and the UK.Analysis Article • Mar 14
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Viva Leisure Limited's (ASX:VVA) P/E
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.8x Viva Leisure Limited ( ASX:VVA ) may be sending very bearish signals...
New Narrative • Feb 24
Franchise Expansion And Tech Integration Will Optimize Future Cash Flows
Franchise network expansion and high-margin segments are set to drive revenue growth, enhancing scalability, profitability, and earnings for Viva Leisure.Analysis Article • Aug 22
Viva Leisure's (ASX:VVA) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Viva Leisure Limited's ( ASX:VVA ) lackluster earnings report last week. Our...Analysis Article • May 24
Viva Leisure (ASX:VVA) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Feb 21
Solid Earnings Reflect Viva Leisure's (ASX:VVA) Strength As A Business
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Viva Leisure Limited's ( ASX:VVA ) strong earnings didn't offer any...Analysis Article • Sep 27
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Viva Leisure Limited (ASX:VVA)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Viva Leisure is AU$1.50 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Viva...Analysis Article • Aug 13
Viva Leisure Limited (ASX:VVA) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To AU$2.70
It's been a pretty great week for Viva Leisure Limited ( ASX:VVA ) shareholders, with its shares surging 10% to AU$1.45...Analysis Article • Dec 12
Estimating The Fair Value Of Viva Leisure Limited (ASX:VVA)
In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Viva Leisure Limited ( ASX:VVA ) by taking the expected...Analysis Article • Jun 30
Health Check: How Prudently Does Viva Leisure (ASX:VVA) Use Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • May 14
Estimating The Fair Value Of Viva Leisure Limited (ASX:VVA)
In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Viva Leisure Limited ( ASX:VVA ) by taking the expected...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2029 | 306 | 29 | N/A | 58 | 1 |
| 6/30/2028 | 286 | 23 | 34 | 77 | 2 |
| 6/30/2027 | 268 | 19 | 30 | 71 | 2 |
| 6/30/2026 | 242 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 2 |
| 12/31/2025 | 229 | 9 | 54 | 81 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 220 | 7 | 47 | 75 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 211 | 5 | 41 | 70 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 197 | 4 | 40 | 67 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 183 | 4 | 39 | 63 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 173 | 3 | 40 | 61 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 163 | 3 | 41 | 59 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 158 | 3 | 37 | 58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 153 | 3 | 34 | 56 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 147 | 3 | 34 | 55 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 141 | 3 | 34 | 53 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 133 | 2 | 33 | 52 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 125 | 0 | 33 | 50 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 108 | -6 | 24 | 39 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 91 | -12 | 16 | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 86 | -13 | 7 | 22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 81 | -14 | -2 | 16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 82 | -10 | -2 | 21 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 84 | -6 | -3 | 25 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 69 | -9 | -10 | 16 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 54 | -11 | -18 | 7 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 47 | -8 | -16 | 5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 41 | -6 | -14 | 4 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 41 | -2 | -5 | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 40 | 3 | 4 | 13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 36 | 3 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 31 | 3 | N/A | 7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 20 | 2 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 8 | 1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 7 | 1 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 7 | 1 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 21 | 1 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 18 | 0 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: VVA's forecast earnings growth (31% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).
Earnings vs Market: VVA's earnings (31% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (11.5% per year).
High Growth Earnings: VVA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: VVA's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: VVA's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: VVA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/10 15:21 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Viva Leisure Limited is covered by 4 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Nicholas McGarrigle | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Billy Boulton | Morgans Financial Limited |
| Emily Porter | Morgans Financial Limited |