Coles Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Coles Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.8% and 2.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 30.8% in 3 years.

Key information

5.8%

Earnings growth rate

5.2%

EPS growth rate

Consumer Retailing earnings growth	17.7%
Revenue growth rate	2.9%
Future return on equity	30.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

CHIA:COL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	47,204	1,338	1,343	2,859	13
6/30/2026	45,676	1,265	1,244	2,775	15
6/30/2025	44,085	1,080	1,029	2,487	15
6/30/2024	43,684	1,128	1,122	2,793	N/A
12/31/2023	41,993	1,020	1,008	2,718	N/A
9/30/2023	41,292	1,031	1,151	2,763	N/A
6/25/2023	40,591	1,042	1,293	2,807	N/A
1/1/2023	39,143	1,108	1,192	2,680	N/A
10/1/2022	38,742	1,077	1,305	2,685	N/A
6/26/2022	38,341	1,045	1,418	2,690	N/A
3/26/2022	38,738	1,025	1,504	2,697	N/A
1/2/2022	38,444	998	1,589	2,704	N/A
10/2/2021	38,700	1,002	1,574	2,771	N/A
6/27/2021	38,955	1,005	1,558	2,837	N/A
3/27/2021	39,137	1,027	1,873	3,051	N/A
1/3/2021	39,319	1,049	2,188	3,264	N/A
10/3/2020	38,552	1,014	1,954	2,908	N/A
6/28/2020	37,784	978	1,719	2,552	N/A
3/28/2020	37,551	1,082	1,259	2,135	N/A
1/5/2020	37,317	1,186	798	1,718	N/A
10/5/2019	37,891	1,132	985	1,997	N/A
6/30/2019	38,464	1,078	1,171	2,275	N/A
3/31/2019	38,924	971	1,271	2,269	N/A
12/30/2018	39,384	864	1,370	2,264	N/A
9/30/2018	39,265	944	1,283	2,087	N/A
6/30/2018	39,145	1,023	1,195	1,910	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: COL's forecast earnings growth (5.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: COL's earnings (5.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: COL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: COL's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: COL's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: COL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (30.8%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/23 08:50
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Coles Group Limited is covered by 23 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Thomas Kierath	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Jonathan Snape	Bell Potter

Coles Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Coles Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Aug 26, 2025

High number of new directors

Coles Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 12, 2024

Final dividend of AU$0.32 announced

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.85 (vs AU$0.78 in FY 2023)

Now 20% undervalued

Coles Group Limited Announces the Appointment of Peter Allen as a Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 September 2024

Coles Group Limited (ASX:COL) completed the acquisition of Two automated milk processing facilities of Saputo Dairy Australia for approximately AUD 110 million.

Now 20% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

First half dividend of AU$0.36 announced

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.45 (vs AU$0.46 in 1H 2023)

Coles Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 27, 2024

Coles Group Limited Appoints Andrew Richard Penn as Director

Coles Group Limited Appoints Andrew Penn AO as Non-Executive Director and Chairman of Audit and Risk Committee, Effective 1 December 2023

Coles Group Limited Announces Board Changes

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.30 per share at 4.1% yield

Coles Group Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 03, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.78 (vs AU$0.79 in FY 2022)

Coles Group Limited Announces the Retirement of David Cheesewright as Director

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.48 (vs AU$0.41 in 1H 2022)

Coles Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 22, 2023

Coles Group to Launch SECOS MyEcoBag in 770 Retail Stores Across Australia

Coles Group Limited Appoints Terry Bowen and Scott Price as Directors

Coles Group Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 21, 2023

Non-Executive Independent Director recently bought AU$167k worth of stock

Viva Energy Group Limited (ASX:VEA) entered into a binding agreement to acquire Fuel and Convenience Retailing Business from Coles Group Limited (ASX:COL) for AUD 300 million.

Coles Group Limited Appoint New Non-Executive Directors

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.79 (vs AU$0.75 in FY 2021)

Coles Group Limited Declares Fully-Franked Final Dividend, Payable on September 28, 2022

Metcash, Coles Reportedly Exit Food Fight

Quadrant Reportedly Pushing Ahead with Sale Plans for Superior Food Services

Insufficient new directors

An unknown buyer acquired a 2.1% stake in Coles Group Limited (ASX:COL) from Wesfarmers Limited (ASX:WES).

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Coles Group Limited Announces Fully Franked Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Period Ended January 2, 2022, Payable on March 31, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.75 (vs AU$0.73 in FY 2020)

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.42 (vs AU$0.37 in 1H 2020)

New 90-day low: AU$17.26

Revenue misses expectations

Coles Group Limited to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Feb 17, 2021

New 90-day high: AU$18.75

Coles Group Limited Announces Executive Changes

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$92k worth of stock

Earnings released

New 90-day high - AU$18.20

Coles Group Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2020 Results on Aug 18, 2020