Stock Analysis

We Wouldn't Be Too Quick To Buy Tamawood Limited (ASX:TWD) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend

ASX:TWD
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Readers hoping to buy Tamawood Limited (ASX:TWD) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. This means that investors who purchase Tamawood's shares on or after the 16th of May will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 7th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be AU$0.11 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of AU$0.16 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Tamawood has a trailing yield of 5.2% on the current share price of AU$3.09. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Tamawood

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Tamawood distributed an unsustainably high 127% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It paid out more than half (55%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's good to see that while Tamawood's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

Click here to see how much of its profit Tamawood paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
ASX:TWD Historic Dividend May 11th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Tamawood's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 18% a year over the previous five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Tamawood has seen its dividend decline 2.7% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. While it's not great that earnings and dividends per share have fallen in recent years, we're encouraged by the fact that management has trimmed the dividend rather than risk over-committing the company in a risky attempt to maintain yields to shareholders.

Final Takeaway

Is Tamawood worth buying for its dividend? Earnings per share have been shrinking in recent times. What's more, Tamawood is paying out a majority of its earnings and over half its free cash flow. It's hard to say if the business has the financial resources and time to turn things around without cutting the dividend. It's not that we think Tamawood is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

With that being said, if you're still considering Tamawood as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. Be aware that Tamawood is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are concerning...

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.