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HRL Holdings Valuation

Is HRL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HRL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HRL (A$0.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HRL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HRL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for HRL. This is calculated by dividing HRL's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is HRL's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	AU$79.39m

HRL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	19.1x
PEG Ratio	7x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HRL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HRL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	4.4x
ARA Ariadne Australia	10.4x	n/a	AU$96.7m
CLG Close the Loop	0.4x	5.1%	AU$95.7m
SPZ Smart Parking	4.6x	17.7%	AU$252.8m
CNQ Clean TeQ Water	2.1x	n/a	AU$24.6m
HRL HRL Holdings	2.2x	6.7%	AU$79.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HRL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (7.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HRL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Commercial Services Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.4%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.4%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HRL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the Australian Commercial Services industry average (2x)

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HRL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HRL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	2.2x
Fair PS Ratio	0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: HRL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HRL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Oct ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Sep ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Aug ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Jul ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Jun ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
May ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Apr ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Mar ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Feb ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Jan ’25	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Dec ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Nov ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Oct ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Sep ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Aug ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Jul ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Jun ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
May ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Apr ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Mar ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Feb ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Jan ’24	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Dec ’23	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2
Nov ’23	n/a	AU$0.15 0%	6.7%	AU$0.16	AU$0.14	n/a	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.