Stock Analysis

Should You Be Adding Brambles (ASX:BXB) To Your Watchlist Today?

ASX:BXB
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. Unfortunately, these high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Brambles (ASX:BXB). While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation - especially if its growing.

View our latest analysis for Brambles

Brambles' Earnings Per Share Are Growing

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Over the last three years, Brambles has grown EPS by 13% per year. That's a good rate of growth, if it can be sustained.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. It's noted that Brambles' revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. Brambles maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 10% to US$6.7b. That's a real positive.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:BXB Earnings and Revenue History May 21st 2024

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Brambles' future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Brambles Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

Shareholders in Brambles will be more than happy to see insiders committing themselves to the company, spending US$322k on shares in just twelve months. And when you consider that there was no insider selling, you can understand why shareholders might believe that there are brighter days ahead. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by Independent Non-Executive Chairman John Mullen for AU$150k worth of shares, at about AU$13.14 per share.

Is Brambles Worth Keeping An Eye On?

One important encouraging feature of Brambles is that it is growing profits. While some companies are struggling to grow EPS, Brambles seems free from that morose affliction. The real kicker is that insiders have been accumulating, suggesting that those who understand the company best see some potential. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Brambles that you should be aware of.

Keen growth investors love to see insider activity. Thankfully, Brambles isn't the only one. You can see a a curated list of Australian companies which have exhibited consistent growth accompanied by high insider ownership.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Brambles might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:BXB

Brambles

Operates as a supply-chain logistics company.

Outstanding track record average dividend payer.

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