AVADA Group Limited's (ASX:AVD) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Commercial Services industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.7x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for AVADA Group
What Does AVADA Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, AVADA Group has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on AVADA Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is AVADA Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as AVADA Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 143% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 66% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 7.1% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that AVADA Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From AVADA Group's P/S?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of AVADA Group revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with AVADA Group (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on AVADA Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:AVD
AVADA Group
Provides traffic management and ancillary services in Australia and New Zealand.
Slight and slightly overvalued.