APM Human Services International Limited

ASX:APM Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.3b

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APM Human Services International Valuation

Is APM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of APM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: APM (A$1.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$2.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: APM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APM?

Key metric: As APM is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for APM. This is calculated by dividing APM's market cap by their current revenue.
What is APM's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesAU$2.30b
Market CapAU$1.33b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does APM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for APM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
SIQ Smartgroup
3.6x4.4%AU$1.0b
MMS McMillan Shakespeare
2x1.8%AU$1.0b
PPE Peoplein
0.07x3.4%AU$84.7m
HIT HiTech Group Australia
1.2xn/aAU$80.4m
APM APM Human Services International
0.6xn/aAU$1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: APM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does APM's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Professional Services Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PPE Peoplein
0.07x3.4%US$54.71m
ASH Ashley Services Group
0.04xn/aUS$14.42m
VRS Veris
0.2x3.5%US$13.23m
HMI Hiremii
0.3xn/aUS$5.45m
APM 0.6xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies7PS01.22.43.64.86+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: APM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the Australian Professional Services industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is APM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

APM PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate APM's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst APM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
AU$1.44
0%
1.5%AU$1.45AU$1.40n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
AU$1.44
0%
1.5%AU$1.45AU$1.40n/a4
Oct ’25AU$1.45
AU$1.44
-0.5%
1.5%AU$1.45AU$1.40n/a4
Sep ’25AU$1.44
AU$1.44
+0.3%
1.4%AU$1.45AU$1.40n/a5
Aug ’25AU$1.42
AU$1.44
+1.8%
1.4%AU$1.45AU$1.40n/a5
Jul ’25AU$1.38
AU$1.44
+4.3%
1.4%AU$1.45AU$1.40n/a5
Jun ’25AU$1.25
AU$1.46
+16.8%
19.2%AU$2.00AU$1.20n/a5
May ’25AU$1.21
AU$1.46
+21.2%
19.2%AU$2.00AU$1.20n/a5
Apr ’25AU$1.63
AU$1.83
+12.0%
12.3%AU$2.00AU$1.40n/a5
Mar ’25AU$1.67
AU$1.74
+4.2%
14.4%AU$2.00AU$1.40n/a5
Feb ’25AU$0.73
AU$1.91
+161.1%
34.0%AU$2.90AU$1.27n/a7
Jan ’25AU$1.23
AU$2.47
+102.0%
16.2%AU$3.00AU$1.90n/a7
Dec ’24AU$1.45
AU$2.56
+76.6%
20.6%AU$3.50AU$1.90n/a7
Nov ’24AU$2.09
AU$2.82
+34.8%
16.5%AU$3.50AU$2.21n/a6
Oct ’24AU$1.85
AU$2.90
+57.3%
16.1%AU$3.50AU$2.21AU$1.455
Sep ’24AU$1.81
AU$2.90
+60.8%
16.1%AU$3.50AU$2.21AU$1.445
Aug ’24AU$2.00
AU$3.26
+63.1%
9.8%AU$3.65AU$2.90AU$1.424
Jul ’24AU$2.12
AU$3.48
+64.2%
12.9%AU$4.00AU$2.90AU$1.385
Jun ’24AU$2.07
AU$3.53
+70.3%
11.9%AU$4.00AU$2.90AU$1.256
May ’24AU$1.89
AU$3.58
+89.6%
13.9%AU$4.10AU$2.80AU$1.216
Apr ’24AU$1.99
AU$3.55
+78.2%
13.3%AU$4.10AU$2.80AU$1.637
Mar ’24AU$2.39
AU$3.53
+47.8%
12.9%AU$4.00AU$2.80AU$1.677
Feb ’24AU$2.57
AU$3.60
+39.9%
14.2%AU$4.20AU$2.80AU$0.737
Jan ’24AU$2.38
AU$3.70
+55.3%
13.1%AU$4.20AU$2.80AU$1.236
Dec ’23AU$3.13
AU$3.76
+20.2%
14.1%AU$4.30AU$2.80AU$1.456
Nov ’23AU$3.28
AU$3.76
+14.7%
14.1%AU$4.30AU$2.80AU$2.096

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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