Stock Analysis

Ai-Media Technologies (ASX:AIM) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

ASX:AIM
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So should Ai-Media Technologies (ASX:AIM) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for Ai-Media Technologies

When Might Ai-Media Technologies Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Ai-Media Technologies last reported its balance sheet in December 2022, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$15m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$1.4m. That means it had a cash runway of very many years as of December 2022. Notably, however, analysts think that Ai-Media Technologies will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. If that happens, then the length of its cash runway, today, would become a moot point. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:AIM Debt to Equity History May 10th 2023

How Well Is Ai-Media Technologies Growing?

Happily, Ai-Media Technologies is travelling in the right direction when it comes to its cash burn, which is down 70% over the last year. And it could also show revenue growth of 7.9% in the same period. It seems to be growing nicely. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Easily Can Ai-Media Technologies Raise Cash?

There's no doubt Ai-Media Technologies seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Ai-Media Technologies' cash burn of AU$1.4m is about 2.7% of its AU$50m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

Is Ai-Media Technologies' Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Ai-Media Technologies' cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. On this analysis its revenue growth was its weakest feature, but we are not concerned about it. There's no doubt that shareholders can take a lot of heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven before too long. Taking all the factors in this report into account, we're not at all worried about its cash burn, as the business appears well capitalized to spend as needs be. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 1 warning sign for Ai-Media Technologies that you should be aware of before investing.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.