DroneShield Valuation

Is DRO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DRO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DRO (A$0.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$3.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DRO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DRO?

Key metric: As DRO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DRO. This is calculated by dividing DRO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DRO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio84.1x
EarningsAU$7.47m
Market CapAU$627.92m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DRO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DRO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.9x
ASB Austal
77.1x41.3%AU$1.1b
TEA Tasmea
20.3x21.8%AU$585.7m
SRG SRG Global
22.9x15.3%AU$788.1m
SSM Service Stream
31.3x15.4%AU$1.0b
DRO DroneShield
84.1x52.6%AU$627.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DRO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.1x) compared to the peer average (37.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DRO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Aerospace & Defense Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DRO 84.1xIndustry Avg. 39.0xNo. of Companies19PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DRO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.1x) compared to the Global Aerospace & Defense industry average (39x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DRO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DRO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio84.1x
Fair PE Ratio59.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DRO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (84.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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