Stock Analysis

    Are Primero Group Limited’s (ASX:PGX) High Returns Really That Great?

    Source: Shutterstock

    Today we'll look at Primero Group Limited (ASX:PGX) and reflect on its potential as an investment. Specifically, we're going to calculate its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), in the hopes of getting some insight into the business.

    First up, we'll look at what ROCE is and how we calculate it. Next, we'll compare it to others in its industry. Last but not least, we'll look at what impact its current liabilities have on its ROCE.

    What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

    ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. All else being equal, a better business will have a higher ROCE. In brief, it is a useful tool, but it is not without drawbacks. Renowned investment researcher Michael Mauboussin has suggested that a high ROCE can indicate that 'one dollar invested in the company generates value of more than one dollar'.

    So, How Do We Calculate ROCE?

    Analysts use this formula to calculate return on capital employed:

    Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

    Or for Primero Group:

    0.26 = AU$9.7m ÷ (AU$72m - AU$35m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2019.)

    So, Primero Group has an ROCE of 26%.

    View our latest analysis for Primero Group

    Is Primero Group's ROCE Good?

    When making comparisons between similar businesses, investors may find ROCE useful. Primero Group's ROCE appears to be substantially greater than the 19% average in the Construction industry. We would consider this a positive, as it suggests it is using capital more effectively than other similar companies. Putting aside its position relative to its industry for now, in absolute terms, Primero Group's ROCE is currently very good.

    ASX:PGX Past Revenue and Net Income, August 31st 2019
    ASX:PGX Past Revenue and Net Income, August 31st 2019

    Remember that this metric is backwards looking - it shows what has happened in the past, and does not accurately predict the future. ROCE can be misleading for companies in cyclical industries, with returns looking impressive during the boom times, but very weak during the busts. ROCE is, after all, simply a snap shot of a single year. What happens in the future is pretty important for investors, so we have prepared a free report on analyst forecasts for Primero Group.

    Do Primero Group's Current Liabilities Skew Its ROCE?

    Liabilities, such as supplier bills and bank overdrafts, are referred to as current liabilities if they need to be paid within 12 months. The ROCE equation subtracts current liabilities from capital employed, so a company with a lot of current liabilities appears to have less capital employed, and a higher ROCE than otherwise. To counter this, investors can check if a company has high current liabilities relative to total assets.

    Primero Group has total assets of AU$72m and current liabilities of AU$35m. Therefore its current liabilities are equivalent to approximately 49% of its total assets. A medium level of current liabilities boosts Primero Group's ROCE somewhat.

    What We Can Learn From Primero Group's ROCE

    Despite this, it reports a high ROCE, and may be worth investigating further. Primero Group looks strong on this analysis, but there are plenty of other companies that could be a good opportunity . Here is a free list of companies growing earnings rapidly.

    If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

    We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

    If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.