With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.3x GenusPlus Group Ltd (ASX:GNP) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 20x and even P/E's lower than 12x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
GenusPlus Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for GenusPlus Group
How Is GenusPlus Group's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as GenusPlus Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 82%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 134% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% per annum as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that GenusPlus Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From GenusPlus Group's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that GenusPlus Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for GenusPlus Group that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on GenusPlus Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:GNP
GenusPlus Group
Engages in the installation, construction, and maintenance of power and communication systems in Australia.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.
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