Stock Analysis

Duratec Limited's (ASX:DUR) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 25% Share Price Bounce

ASX:DUR
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The Duratec Limited (ASX:DUR) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. The last month tops off a massive increase of 174% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Duratec's P/E ratio of 20.1x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Australia is also close to 19x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Recent times have been pleasing for Duratec as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Duratec

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:DUR Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Duratec.

Is There Some Growth For Duratec?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Duratec's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 144% gain to the company's bottom line. As a result, it also grew EPS by 13% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 16% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 17% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Duratec's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

The Final Word

Duratec appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Duratec maintains its moderate P/E off the back of its forecast growth being in line with the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings won't throw up any surprises. It's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Duratec with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Duratec, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Duratec is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.