Stock Analysis

October 2024 ASX Stocks Priced Below Estimated Value

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The Australian market has shown a robust performance, increasing by 1.1% over the last week and 18% over the past year, with earnings projected to grow by 12% annually in the coming years. In this thriving environment, identifying stocks priced below their estimated value can offer potential opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on market efficiencies.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
EZZ Life Science Holdings (ASX:EZZ)A$4.43A$8.7849.5%
DroneShield (ASX:DRO)A$1.395A$2.6848%
Duratec (ASX:DUR)A$1.395A$2.5946.2%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$2.02A$3.9348.6%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$15.96A$31.4049.2%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$5.04A$9.4046.4%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
IperionX (ASX:IPX)A$3.49A$6.6747.6%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$1.725A$3.3147.9%
Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN)A$51.73A$96.1746.2%

Click here to see the full list of 46 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Below we spotlight a couple of our favorites from our exclusive screener.

Data#3 (ASX:DTL)

Overview: Data#3 Limited provides information technology solutions and services across Australia, Fiji, and the Pacific Islands, with a market cap of A$1.15 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily stems from its role as a Value-Added IT Reseller and IT Solutions Provider, generating A$805.75 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44.7%

Data#3 Limited appears undervalued based on cash flows, trading at A$7.44, which is significantly below its estimated fair value of A$13.46. Despite a modest forecasted annual earnings growth of 11.08%, its revenue growth is expected to outpace the Australian market significantly at 33.3% per year. Recent earnings showed an increase in net income to A$43.31 million from the previous year, indicating solid financial performance despite limited dividend coverage by earnings or free cash flow.

ASX:DTL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Kina Securities (ASX:KSL)

Overview: Kina Securities Limited operates in Papua New Guinea, offering commercial banking, financial services, fund administration, investment management, and share brokerage services with a market cap of A$389.84 million.

Operations: Kina Securities Limited generates revenue from its key segments, with PGK 391.80 million from Banking & Finance (Including Corporate) and PGK 39.65 million from Wealth Management.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 10.7%

Kina Securities is trading at A$0.99, slightly below its estimated fair value of A$1.10, with forecasted earnings growth of 18.6% annually, surpassing the Australian market's 12.2%. Despite a high bad loans ratio of 7.9%, revenue growth is expected to outpace the market at 12% per year. Recent earnings showed net income decreased to PGK 42.24 million from PGK 46.37 million a year ago, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability amidst shareholder dilution and an unstable dividend track record.

ASX:KSL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL)

Overview: Vulcan Steel Limited, along with its subsidiaries, operates in the sale and distribution of steel and metal products across New Zealand and Australia, with a market cap of A$1.05 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include NZ$471.29 million from steel and NZ$593.04 million from metals.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 30.3%

Vulcan Steel is trading at A$7.94, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$11.39, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. However, its net profit margin has decreased from 7.1% to 3.8%, and interest payments are not well-covered by earnings, reflecting financial challenges. Despite this, earnings are forecasted to grow significantly at 32.1% annually over the next three years, outpacing the broader Australian market's expected growth rate of 12.2%.

ASX:VSL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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