Duke Energy Corporation

WBAG:DUKE Stock Report

Market Cap: €82.4b

Duke Energy Valuation

Is DUKE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DUKE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€107.74
Fair Value
1.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: DUKE (€106.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€107.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DUKE is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DUKE?

Key metric: As DUKE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DUKE. This is calculated by dividing DUKE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DUKE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.5x
EarningsUS$4.39b
Market CapUS$93.76b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DUKE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DUKE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
VER VERBUND
12.2x-11.9%€22.8b
EVN EVN
8.9x-1.7%€4.0b
SO Southern
22.8x7.5%US$99.8b
IBE Iberdrola
18.2x4.4%€98.5b
DUKE Duke Energy
21.5x8.0%€93.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DUKE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the peer average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DUKE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electric Utilities Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DUKE 21.5xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies11PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DUKE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the European Electric Utilities industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DUKE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DUKE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.5x
Fair PE Ratio16.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DUKE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DUKE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€106.48
€109.24
+2.6%
4.0%€118.73€102.90n/a16
Apr ’26€112.08
€114.40
+2.1%
4.9%€124.78€102.60n/a16
Mar ’26€111.96
€116.64
+4.2%
4.8%€126.13€106.06n/a16
Feb ’26€107.88
€116.80
+8.3%
4.9%€127.34€107.08n/a16
Jan ’26€103.48
€118.74
+14.7%
5.4%€133.22€109.26n/a17
Dec ’25€111.34
€118.31
+6.3%
5.5%€132.68€107.86n/a17
Nov ’25€104.86
€113.31
+8.1%
5.6%€127.80€103.89n/a17
Oct ’25€105.06
€108.26
+3.0%
5.7%€123.94€101.49n/a18
Sep ’25€102.40
€105.73
+3.3%
5.6%€121.89€92.10n/a17
Aug ’25€102.50
€100.32
-2.1%
6.5%€110.52€86.57n/a17
Jul ’25€92.96
€99.89
+7.5%
6.9%€112.22€87.91n/a17
Jun ’25€94.64
€98.72
+4.3%
6.6%€110.48€86.55n/a17
May ’25€91.99
€97.63
+6.1%
7.0%€112.24€87.92n/a17
Apr ’25€89.30
€96.59
+8.2%
6.9%€111.05€86.99€112.0817
Mar ’25€83.90
€96.00
+14.4%
7.3%€110.89€86.87€111.9617
Feb ’25€89.30
€96.84
+8.4%
6.5%€110.68€89.43€107.8817
Jan ’25€87.50
€91.30
+4.3%
6.6%€108.42€81.32€103.4817
Dec ’24€84.70
€90.26
+6.6%
6.9%€110.26€81.77€111.3417
Nov ’24€84.90
€92.02
+8.4%
7.0%€113.54€86.10€104.8616
Oct ’24€83.90
€94.46
+12.6%
6.4%€112.72€85.48€105.0616
Sep ’24€82.20
€91.05
+10.8%
12.0%€111.08€54.62€102.4017
Aug ’24€84.50
€91.16
+7.9%
12.7%€108.85€53.52€102.5016
Jul ’24€81.40
€95.36
+17.1%
7.7%€110.17€82.63€92.9615
Jun ’24€82.70
€100.82
+21.9%
4.4%€111.43€94.72€94.6414
May ’24€89.50
€98.04
+9.5%
4.7%€108.66€91.46€91.9915
Apr ’24€88.95
€98.58
+10.8%
5.1%€110.70€91.33€89.3015
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
€108.67
Fair Value
2.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/29 08:09
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/29 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Duke Energy Corporation is covered by 36 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gary HovisArgus Research Company
Nathan JudgeAtlantic Equities LLP
Daniel FordBarclays