Orange Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Orange's revenue is forecast to decline at 1% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 13.1% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 13.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.6% in 3 years.

Key information

13.1%

Earnings growth rate

13.3%

EPS growth rate

Telecom earnings growth	18.8%
Revenue growth rate	-1.0%
Future return on equity	8.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

WBAG:ORA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	41,376	3,321	3,679	10,909	15
12/31/2025	40,916	3,028	3,404	10,613	16
12/31/2024	40,271	2,737	3,035	9,418	10
6/30/2024	44,609	2,036	3,684	11,034	N/A
3/31/2024	44,366	2,151	3,955	11,544	N/A
12/31/2023	44,122	2,265	4,225	12,054	N/A
9/30/2023	41,728	1,902	3,437	11,695	N/A
6/30/2023	41,526	1,572	2,649	11,335	N/A
3/31/2023	42,499	1,759	2,554	11,285	N/A
12/31/2022	43,471	1,946	2,458	11,235	N/A
9/30/2022	43,212	2,971	2,813	11,374	N/A
6/30/2022	42,952	3,995	3,168	11,512	N/A
3/31/2022	42,737	2,002	2,828	11,374	N/A
12/31/2021	42,522	8	2,487	11,236	N/A
9/30/2021	42,445	440	3,436	12,479	N/A
6/30/2021	42,368	871	4,384	13,721	N/A
3/31/2021	42,319	2,719	4,268	13,209	N/A
12/31/2020	42,270	4,567	4,151	12,697	N/A
9/30/2020	42,352	3,596	3,436	11,542	N/A
6/30/2020	42,434	2,624	2,720	10,387	N/A
3/31/2020	42,336	2,680	2,244	10,289	N/A
12/31/2019	42,238	2,736	1,768	10,190	N/A
9/30/2019	41,965	2,324	1,422	9,829	N/A
6/30/2019	41,692	1,911	1,076	9,468	N/A
3/31/2019	41,537	1,786	1,470	9,487	N/A
12/31/2018	41,381	1,661	1,864	9,506	N/A
6/30/2018	41,033	1,735	2,048	9,599	N/A
3/31/2018	40,946	1,641	N/A	9,887	N/A
12/31/2017	40,859	1,547	N/A	10,174	N/A
6/30/2017	40,927	77	N/A	9,646	N/A
3/31/2017	40,923	236	N/A	9,198	N/A
12/31/2016	40,708	273	N/A	8,750	N/A
9/30/2016	40,838	1,232	N/A	9,007	N/A
6/30/2016	40,758	2,280	N/A	9,264	N/A
3/31/2016	40,497	2,149	N/A	9,396	N/A
12/31/2015	40,236	1,912	N/A	9,527	N/A
6/30/2015	39,410	1,034	N/A	8,991	N/A
3/31/2015	39,428	996	N/A	8,897	N/A
12/31/2014	39,445	957	N/A	8,802	N/A
6/30/2014	39,970	1,430	N/A	7,011	N/A
3/31/2014	40,476	1,674	N/A	7,135	N/A
12/31/2013	40,981	1,918	N/A	7,259	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ORA's forecast earnings growth (13.1% per year) is above the savings rate (1.4%).

Earnings vs Market: ORA's earnings (13.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Austrian market (8.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ORA's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ORA's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ORA's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ORA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/18 06:10
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Orange S.A. is covered by 56 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jean-Michel Salvador	AlphaValue
Pierre-Marie D'Ornano	Arete Research Services LLP
Andrew Charles Beale	Arete Research Services LLP

Orange Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Orange S.A. Announces Interim Dividend for 2024, Payable on 5 December 2024

Orange S.A. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Oct 23, 2025

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: €0.21 (vs €0.29 in 1H 2023)

Orange S.A. (ENXTPA:ORA) commences an Equity Buyback Plan for 265,886,460 shares, representing 10% for €6,384.14 million, under the authorization approved on May 22, 2024.

Upcoming dividend of €0.42 per share

Orange S.A. Proposes Dividend Guidance for the Year 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.85 (vs €0.73 in FY 2022)

Final dividend increased to €0.42

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.85 (vs €0.73 in FY 2022)

Orange S.A. Announces Dividend for the 2023 Fiscal Year

Orange S.A., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2024

Orange S.A. (ENXTPA:ORA) commences an Equity Buyback Plan for €6,384.14 million worth of its shares, under the authorization approved on May 23, 2023.

Upcoming dividend of €0.30 per share at 6.3% yield

Orange, Masmovil Reportedly to Sell Assets to Digi as Remedy for Tie-Up Deal

Orange S.A. Confirms an Interim Dividend Cash Payment for 2023, Payable on 6 December 2023

Orange S.A. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 24, 2024

Orange S.A. Announces Interim Dividend in Respect of 2023, Payable on December 6, 2023

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.30 (vs €0.42 in 1H 2022)

Orange S.A. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 24, 2023

Orange S.A. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 25, 2023

Upcoming dividend of €0.40 per share at 6.1% yield

Orange S.A. Appoints Momar Nguer and Gilles Grapinet to Its Board of Directors

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0.73 (vs €0.003 in FY 2021)

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: €0.73 (vs €0.003 in FY 2021)

Orange S.A., Annual General Meeting, May 23, 2023

Orange Group Announces the Departure of Ramon Fernandez, Deputy Chief Executive Officer in Charge of Finance

Cerberus Reportedly Considers Takeover of Orange Bank

Upcoming dividend of €0.30 per share

Vivendi's Canal Plus in Talks to Buy Orange's Film and Pay TV Units

Orange S.A. to Report Q1, 2023 Results on Apr 27, 2023

Orange Reportedly Planning to Sell Orange Bank

Orange Names Caroline Guillaumin as Executive Director of Communications, Effective 2 January 2023

Orange S.A. Announces Changes to Management Team

First half 2022 earnings released

Orange Declares Interim Dividend for 2022, Payable on 7 December 2022; Proposes Dividend for the Fiscal Year 2022

Upcoming dividend of €0.40 per share

Orange S.A. Provides Dividend Guidance for the Year 2022

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: €0.003 (vs €1.72 in FY 2020)

Orange’s Board of Directors Proposes Jacques Aschenbroich as A Director and Future Group Non-Executive Chairman

Orange and MasMovil in Talks to Merge Spain Businesses

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues in line with analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of €0.30 per share

Sopra Steria Has Not Made M&A Approach to Atos

Upcoming dividend of €0.50 per share

Orange S.A. Announces Dividend for the Full Year of 2020, Payable on 17 June 2021

Orange Reportedly Considers Buying Back Its TDF Unit

New 90-day high: €10.37

Orange Reportedly Considers Relinquishing Control of Banking Subsidiary

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS €1.72 (vs €1.03 in FY 2019)

Revenue beats expectations

Orange S.A. to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Jul 29, 2021

Orange S.A. Ends Discussions on A Mobile Network Sharing Agreement with Free

Sanofi, Capgemini, Generali and Orange Announces the Creation of a Digital Ecosystem Dedicated to E-Health

Orange S.A. (ENXTPA:ORA) plans to launch a conditional voluntary public takeover bid to acquire unknown stake in Orange Belgium S.A. (ENXTBR:OBEL) from Schroder Investment Management Limited, Boussard & Gavaudan Asset Management, LP and others.