Koninklijke KPN Valuation

Is KPN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KPN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KPN (€3.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KPN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KPN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KPN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.8x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KPN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KPN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.1x
TKA Telekom Austria
8.5x6.0%€5.3b
ETS EuroTeleSites
18.5xn/a€585.6m
BT.A BT Group
5.5x-4.4%UK£10.2b
VIVT3 Telefônica Brasil
15.8x13.3%R$79.3b
KPN Koninklijke KPN
17.3x7.4%€13.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KPN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KPN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KPN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KPN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KPN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KPN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.44
€3.69
+7.1%
13.1%€4.60€2.30n/a21
Apr ’25€3.44
€3.66
+6.4%
13.4%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Mar ’25€3.38
€3.63
+7.5%
13.4%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Feb ’25€3.18
€3.62
+13.8%
13.5%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Jan ’25€3.11
€3.59
+15.5%
13.6%€4.50€2.30n/a20
Dec ’24€3.13
€3.58
+14.4%
12.9%€4.30€2.30n/a20
Nov ’24€3.18
€3.60
+13.3%
13.1%€4.30€2.30n/a20
Oct ’24€3.09
€3.61
+16.9%
13.6%€4.40€2.30n/a20
Sep ’24€3.23
€3.64
+12.9%
13.5%€4.40€2.30n/a19
Aug ’24€3.31
€3.64
+10.1%
13.5%€4.40€2.30n/a19
Jul ’24€3.25
€3.64
+12.0%
13.1%€4.40€2.30n/a18
Jun ’24€3.20
€3.61
+12.9%
12.8%€4.40€2.30n/a19
May ’24€3.25
€3.58
+10.2%
14.1%€4.40€2.30n/a19
Apr ’24€3.22
€3.54
+10.0%
14.2%€4.40€2.30€3.4420
Mar ’24n/a
€3.52
0%
14.6%€4.40€2.30€3.3820
Feb ’24€3.16
€3.42
+8.1%
16.4%€4.40€2.30€3.1820
Jan ’24€2.92
€3.39
+16.1%
16.2%€4.40€2.30€3.1120
Dec ’23€2.99
€3.42
+14.4%
15.8%€4.40€2.30€3.1320
Nov ’23€2.81
€3.42
+21.7%
15.7%€4.40€2.30€3.1821
Oct ’23€2.78
€3.50
+26.1%
15.0%€4.40€2.30€3.0921
Sep ’23€3.17
€3.52
+11.2%
14.8%€4.40€2.30€3.2322
Aug ’23€3.22
€3.50
+8.8%
14.7%€4.40€2.30€3.3122
Jul ’23€3.43
€3.48
+1.5%
14.7%€4.40€2.30€3.2522
Jun ’23€3.39
€3.44
+1.4%
13.9%€4.40€2.30€3.2022
May ’23€3.29
€3.37
+2.4%
13.1%€4.00€2.30€3.2522
Apr ’23€3.18
€3.28
+3.3%
13.0%€4.00€2.30€3.2222

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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