Seagate Technology Holdings plc

WBAG:STXH Stock Report

Market Cap: €20.5b

Seagate Technology Holdings Valuation

Is STXH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STXH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STXH (€97.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€109.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STXH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STXH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

STXH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA39.9x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STXH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STXH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.3x
992 Lenovo Group
16.2x18.7%HK$135.5b
NTAP NetApp
22.9x7.3%US$24.8b
HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise
14.1x6.0%US$26.2b
12x3.3%US$34.1b
STXH Seagate Technology Holdings
68.3x26.8%€22.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STXH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.3x) compared to the peer average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STXH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Tech Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STXH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.3x) compared to the Global Tech industry average (21x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STXH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STXH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio68.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate STXH's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STXH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€97.23
€101.40
+4.3%
21.5%€126.96€58.12n/a20
Sep ’25€88.63
€101.40
+14.4%
21.5%€126.96€58.12n/a20
Aug ’25€93.31
€105.95
+13.5%
19.6%€131.02€59.98n/a20
Jul ’25€95.63
€90.35
-5.5%
18.2%€111.15€51.37n/a21
Jun ’25€84.29
€88.72
+5.3%
18.2%€109.69€50.70n/a21
May ’25€80.06
€88.82
+10.9%
18.3%€111.19€51.39n/a20
Apr ’25€87.38
€84.72
-3.0%
20.1%€106.18€46.17n/a20
Mar ’25€89.67
€81.18
-9.5%
20.5%€106.03€46.10n/a20
Feb ’25€79.66
€79.94
+0.4%
20.5%€105.80€46.00n/a19
Jan ’25€78.51
€63.25
-19.4%
16.3%€83.12€36.14n/a19
Dec ’24€72.87
€64.25
-11.8%
14.1%€80.06€37.68n/a19
Nov ’24€66.34
€64.25
-3.2%
14.1%€80.06€37.68n/a19
Oct ’24€62.23
€59.70
-4.1%
14.3%€74.87€37.44n/a19
Sep ’24€67.32
€57.29
-14.9%
15.0%€72.70€36.35€88.6320
Aug ’24€57.88
€56.92
-1.7%
14.4%€71.12€36.47€93.3119
Jul ’24€56.57
€57.43
+1.5%
15.1%€71.46€30.23€95.6319
Jun ’24€56.74
€57.96
+2.2%
14.9%€66.86€29.72€84.2919
May ’24€52.82
€56.29
+6.6%
14.7%€65.54€29.13€80.0619
Apr ’24€60.40
€62.93
+4.2%
15.2%€76.36€32.59€87.3819
Mar ’24€59.72
€63.39
+6.2%
14.8%€76.78€32.77€89.6720
Feb ’24€62.87
€61.38
-2.4%
14.3%€73.62€32.21€79.6620
Jan ’24€48.99
€58.81
+20.1%
14.1%€70.25€38.14€78.5120
Dec ’23€50.76
€58.81
+15.9%
14.1%€70.25€38.14€72.8720
Nov ’23€51.44
€58.81
+14.3%
14.1%€70.25€38.14€66.3420
Oct ’23€56.19
€78.02
+38.9%
16.8%€103.90€41.56€62.2321
Sep ’23€64.72
€79.07
+22.2%
14.7%€100.54€58.31€67.3220

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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