TomTom Valuation

Is TOM2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOM2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TOM2 (€5.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOM2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOM2?

Key metric: As TOM2 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TOM2. This is calculated by dividing TOM2's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TOM2's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
Sales€575.52m
Market Cap€615.00m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TOM2's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TOM2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
VQLA Voquz Labs
1.3x39.3%€5.3m
1675 AsiaInfo Technologies
0.7x4.2%HK$5.6b
5CP Silverlake Axis
4x3.9%S$930.5m
HSN Hansen Technologies
3.1x5.5%AU$1.1b
TOM2 TomTom
1.1x6.4%€615.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TOM2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (2.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TOM2's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

44 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TOM2 1.1xIndustry Avg. 2.1xNo. of Companies52PS0246810+
44 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TOM2 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the European Software industry average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOM2's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOM2 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TOM2's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOM2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.03
€8.00
+59.0%
37.5%€11.00€5.00n/a2
Dec ’25€5.23
€8.00
+53.1%
37.5%€11.00€5.00n/a2
Nov ’25€5.08
€8.53
+68.0%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Oct ’25€5.08
€8.53
+68.1%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Sep ’25€5.21
€8.53
+63.8%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Aug ’25€4.98
€8.53
+71.4%
30.0%€11.00€5.00n/a3
Jul ’25€5.38
€9.13
+69.8%
24.4%€11.00€6.00n/a3
Jun ’25€5.72
€9.13
+59.7%
24.4%€11.00€6.00n/a3
May ’25€5.82
€9.13
+57.1%
24.4%€11.00€6.00n/a3
Apr ’25€7.35
€9.63
+31.1%
15.9%€11.00€7.50n/a3
Mar ’25€7.44
€9.47
+27.2%
18.6%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Feb ’25€6.26
€9.50
+51.8%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Jan ’25€6.46
€9.50
+47.1%
18.7%€11.00€7.00n/a3
Dec ’24€6.16
€9.50
+54.3%
18.7%€11.00€7.00€5.233
Nov ’24€5.66
€9.50
+67.8%
18.7%€11.00€7.00€5.083
Oct ’24€6.63
€10.00
+50.9%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.083
Sep ’24€7.32
€10.00
+36.7%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.213
Aug ’24€7.89
€10.00
+26.7%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€4.983
Jul ’24€6.68
€10.00
+49.7%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.383
Jun ’24€7.24
€10.00
+38.2%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.723
May ’24€7.63
€10.00
+31.1%
10.8%€11.00€8.50€5.823
Apr ’24n/a
€9.67
0%
16.0%€11.00€7.50€7.353
Mar ’24€7.36
€9.33
+26.9%
14.1%€10.50€7.50€7.443
Feb ’24€6.52
€9.33
+43.3%
14.1%€10.50€7.50€6.263
Jan ’24€6.47
€9.50
+46.8%
11.4%€10.50€8.00€6.463
Dec ’23€8.01
€10.17
+27.0%
16.2%€12.00€8.00€6.163

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 12:34
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

TomTom N.V. is covered by 28 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Thijs BerkelderABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Michael RindosAegis Capital Corporation
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue